Brazil’s central bank cut the Selic rate by 25 basis points to 14.50 percent at its late-April Copom meeting, extending the cautious easing cycle that began in March amid moderating GDP growth and resilient yet non-inflationary labor-market conditions. Market-implied odds heavily favor another reduction in June because prior policy transmission is viewed as sufficient to keep inflation on a converging path despite 2026 IPCA expectations holding near 4.9 percent, above the 3 percent target midpoint. Hawkish April minutes, however, stressed data dependence and elevated upside risks from geopolitical oil shocks, leaving room for a pause if incoming releases such as the full April IPCA print show further acceleration. This dynamic anchors the 76 percent implied probability of a decrease while capping no-change odds at roughly one-quarter.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于下调 76%
无变化 24.2%
提高 <1%
$140,277 交易量
$140,277 交易量
2026-06-16
提高
1%
无变化
24%
下调
76%
下调 76%
无变化 24.2%
提高 <1%
$140,277 交易量
$140,277 交易量
2026-06-16
提高
$41,318 交易量
1%
无变化
$36,517 交易量
24%
下调
$62,442 交易量
76%
This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the Selic rate as a result of the monetary policy decision of the Bank of Brazil's June 2026 meeting versus the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Brazil after its June 2026 policy meeting, currently scheduled for June 15-16, as listed on the official Bank of Brazil calendar: https://www.bcb.gov.br/en/about/bcb-calendar
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Brazil's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.Brazil’s central bank cut the Selic rate by 25 basis points to 14.50 percent at its late-April Copom meeting, extending the cautious easing cycle that began in March amid moderating GDP growth and resilient yet non-inflationary labor-market conditions. Market-implied odds heavily favor another reduction in June because prior policy transmission is viewed as sufficient to keep inflation on a converging path despite 2026 IPCA expectations holding near 4.9 percent, above the 3 percent target midpoint. Hawkish April minutes, however, stressed data dependence and elevated upside risks from geopolitical oil shocks, leaving room for a pause if incoming releases such as the full April IPCA print show further acceleration. This dynamic anchors the 76 percent implied probability of a decrease while capping no-change odds at roughly one-quarter.
This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the Selic rate as a result of the monetary policy decision of the Bank of Brazil's June 2026 meeting versus the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Brazil after its June 2026 policy meeting, currently scheduled for June 15-16, as listed on the official Bank of Brazil calendar: https://www.bcb.gov.br/en/about/bcb-calendar
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Brazil's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Brazil after its June 2026 policy meeting, currently scheduled for June 15-16, as listed on the official Bank of Brazil calendar: https://www.bcb.gov.br/en/about/bcb-calendar
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Brazil's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
市场开放时间： Mar 24, 2026, 7:33 PM ET
交易量
$140,277结束日期
2026-06-16市场开放时间
Mar 24, 2026, 7:33 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the Selic rate as a result of the monetary policy decision of the Bank of Brazil's June 2026 meeting versus the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Brazil after its June 2026 policy meeting, currently scheduled for June 15-16, as listed on the official Bank of Brazil calendar: https://www.bcb.gov.br/en/about/bcb-calendar
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Brazil's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.Brazil’s central bank cut the Selic rate by 25 basis points to 14.50 percent at its late-April Copom meeting, extending the cautious easing cycle that began in March amid moderating GDP growth and resilient yet non-inflationary labor-market conditions. Market-implied odds heavily favor another reduction in June because prior policy transmission is viewed as sufficient to keep inflation on a converging path despite 2026 IPCA expectations holding near 4.9 percent, above the 3 percent target midpoint. Hawkish April minutes, however, stressed data dependence and elevated upside risks from geopolitical oil shocks, leaving room for a pause if incoming releases such as the full April IPCA print show further acceleration. This dynamic anchors the 76 percent implied probability of a decrease while capping no-change odds at roughly one-quarter.
This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the Selic rate as a result of the monetary policy decision of the Bank of Brazil's June 2026 meeting versus the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Brazil after its June 2026 policy meeting, currently scheduled for June 15-16, as listed on the official Bank of Brazil calendar: https://www.bcb.gov.br/en/about/bcb-calendar
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Brazil's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Brazil after its June 2026 policy meeting, currently scheduled for June 15-16, as listed on the official Bank of Brazil calendar: https://www.bcb.gov.br/en/about/bcb-calendar
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Brazil's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
交易量
$140,277结束日期
2026-06-16市场开放时间
Mar 24, 2026, 7:33 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Brazil’s central bank cut the Selic rate by 25 basis points to 14.50 percent at its late-April Copom meeting, extending the cautious easing cycle that began in March amid moderating GDP growth and resilient yet non-inflationary labor-market conditions. Market-implied odds heavily favor another reduction in June because prior policy transmission is viewed as sufficient to keep inflation on a converging path despite 2026 IPCA expectations holding near 4.9 percent, above the 3 percent target midpoint. Hawkish April minutes, however, stressed data dependence and elevated upside risks from geopolitical oil shocks, leaving room for a pause if incoming releases such as the full April IPCA print show further acceleration. This dynamic anchors the 76 percent implied probability of a decrease while capping no-change odds at roughly one-quarter.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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