Traders' overwhelming 98.9% implied probability for the 85–90 per 100,000 bin reflects CDC FluSurv-NET surveillance data from the Week 17 FluView report, showing a cumulative influenza-associated hospitalization rate of 86.0 per 100,000 population as of early May 2026—squarely within the range and consistent with the 2025-2026 season's moderate activity levels driven by H3N2 dominance and stabilizing weekly admission rates around 0.5–0.7 per 100,000. This marks the third-highest cumulative rate in recent seasons, aligning with historical peaks amid vaccination coverage and variant circulation patterns. While preliminary figures carry reporting delays typical of CDC's 13-state network, realistic challenges include upward revisions from late-submitted hospital data pushing toward 90–95 or minor downward adjustments if underreporting is corrected, with finalized rates expected in upcoming FluView updates.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Flu Hospitalization Rate Week 18, 2026?
Flu Hospitalization Rate Week 18, 2026?
85–90 98.8%
90–95 1.6%
95–100 <1%
<80 <1%
$14,346 交易量
$14,346 交易量
2026-05-15
<80
<1%
80–85
<1%
85–90
99%
90–95
2%
95–100
<1%
100+
<1%
85–90 98.8%
90–95 1.6%
95–100 <1%
<80 <1%
$14,346 交易量
$14,346 交易量
2026-05-15
<80
$1,606 交易量
<1%
80–85
$1,729 交易量
<1%
85–90
$5,728 交易量
99%
90–95
$3,413 交易量
2%
95–100
$1,056 交易量
<1%
100+
$815 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve according to the cumulative influenza-associated hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the United States, as reported for the specified week.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be CDC FluView / FluSurv-NET (see: https://www.cdc.gov/fluview/index.html). If the FluSurv-NET hospitalization rate for the specified week is not released by 11:59 PM ET on the tenth calendar day following the date of the prior FluView weekly report release, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
Note: Only the CDC FluSurv-NET cumulative hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the specified week will qualify, regardless of estimates, projections, state-level reports, or other influenza surveillance metrics published by the CDC or other sources.Traders' overwhelming 98.9% implied probability for the 85–90 per 100,000 bin reflects CDC FluSurv-NET surveillance data from the Week 17 FluView report, showing a cumulative influenza-associated hospitalization rate of 86.0 per 100,000 population as of early May 2026—squarely within the range and consistent with the 2025-2026 season's moderate activity levels driven by H3N2 dominance and stabilizing weekly admission rates around 0.5–0.7 per 100,000. This marks the third-highest cumulative rate in recent seasons, aligning with historical peaks amid vaccination coverage and variant circulation patterns. While preliminary figures carry reporting delays typical of CDC's 13-state network, realistic challenges include upward revisions from late-submitted hospital data pushing toward 90–95 or minor downward adjustments if underreporting is corrected, with finalized rates expected in upcoming FluView updates.
This market will resolve according to the cumulative influenza-associated hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the United States, as reported for the specified week.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be CDC FluView / FluSurv-NET (see: https://www.cdc.gov/fluview/index.html). If the FluSurv-NET hospitalization rate for the specified week is not released by 11:59 PM ET on the tenth calendar day following the date of the prior FluView weekly report release, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
Note: Only the CDC FluSurv-NET cumulative hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the specified week will qualify, regardless of estimates, projections, state-level reports, or other influenza surveillance metrics published by the CDC or other sources.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be CDC FluView / FluSurv-NET (see: https://www.cdc.gov/fluview/index.html). If the FluSurv-NET hospitalization rate for the specified week is not released by 11:59 PM ET on the tenth calendar day following the date of the prior FluView weekly report release, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
Note: Only the CDC FluSurv-NET cumulative hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the specified week will qualify, regardless of estimates, projections, state-level reports, or other influenza surveillance metrics published by the CDC or other sources.
市场开放时间： May 8, 2026, 12:14 PM ET
交易量
$14,346结束日期
2026-05-15市场开放时间
May 8, 2026, 12:14 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the cumulative influenza-associated hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the United States, as reported for the specified week.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be CDC FluView / FluSurv-NET (see: https://www.cdc.gov/fluview/index.html). If the FluSurv-NET hospitalization rate for the specified week is not released by 11:59 PM ET on the tenth calendar day following the date of the prior FluView weekly report release, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
Note: Only the CDC FluSurv-NET cumulative hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the specified week will qualify, regardless of estimates, projections, state-level reports, or other influenza surveillance metrics published by the CDC or other sources.Traders' overwhelming 98.9% implied probability for the 85–90 per 100,000 bin reflects CDC FluSurv-NET surveillance data from the Week 17 FluView report, showing a cumulative influenza-associated hospitalization rate of 86.0 per 100,000 population as of early May 2026—squarely within the range and consistent with the 2025-2026 season's moderate activity levels driven by H3N2 dominance and stabilizing weekly admission rates around 0.5–0.7 per 100,000. This marks the third-highest cumulative rate in recent seasons, aligning with historical peaks amid vaccination coverage and variant circulation patterns. While preliminary figures carry reporting delays typical of CDC's 13-state network, realistic challenges include upward revisions from late-submitted hospital data pushing toward 90–95 or minor downward adjustments if underreporting is corrected, with finalized rates expected in upcoming FluView updates.
This market will resolve according to the cumulative influenza-associated hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the United States, as reported for the specified week.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be CDC FluView / FluSurv-NET (see: https://www.cdc.gov/fluview/index.html). If the FluSurv-NET hospitalization rate for the specified week is not released by 11:59 PM ET on the tenth calendar day following the date of the prior FluView weekly report release, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
Note: Only the CDC FluSurv-NET cumulative hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the specified week will qualify, regardless of estimates, projections, state-level reports, or other influenza surveillance metrics published by the CDC or other sources.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be CDC FluView / FluSurv-NET (see: https://www.cdc.gov/fluview/index.html). If the FluSurv-NET hospitalization rate for the specified week is not released by 11:59 PM ET on the tenth calendar day following the date of the prior FluView weekly report release, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
Note: Only the CDC FluSurv-NET cumulative hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the specified week will qualify, regardless of estimates, projections, state-level reports, or other influenza surveillance metrics published by the CDC or other sources.
交易量
$14,346结束日期
2026-05-15市场开放时间
May 8, 2026, 12:14 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders' overwhelming 98.9% implied probability for the 85–90 per 100,000 bin reflects CDC FluSurv-NET surveillance data from the Week 17 FluView report, showing a cumulative influenza-associated hospitalization rate of 86.0 per 100,000 population as of early May 2026—squarely within the range and consistent with the 2025-2026 season's moderate activity levels driven by H3N2 dominance and stabilizing weekly admission rates around 0.5–0.7 per 100,000. This marks the third-highest cumulative rate in recent seasons, aligning with historical peaks amid vaccination coverage and variant circulation patterns. While preliminary figures carry reporting delays typical of CDC's 13-state network, realistic challenges include upward revisions from late-submitted hospital data pushing toward 90–95 or minor downward adjustments if underreporting is corrected, with finalized rates expected in upcoming FluView updates.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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