Official meteorological forecasts from agencies including the Turkish State Meteorological Service and international models such as those from ECMWF and GFS show Ankara experiencing clear skies, light northeasterly winds, and a daytime maximum near 27°C on August 16, consistent with late-summer climatology for the Anatolian plateau where average August highs reach about 29°C. Real-time surface observations and satellite data reinforce this temperature range without indications of anomalous warming from regional pressure systems or urban heat effects. At 100% market-implied probability, traders reflect near-certainty in verified station readings from central Ankara. A rapid shift in steering patterns or unforecasted subsidence could still produce a higher peak, though current model agreement and timing late in the day make such revisions improbable.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月16日安卡拉的最高温度？
8月16日安卡拉的最高温度？
27°C 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$34,891 交易量
$34,891 交易量
2026-08-16
22°C or below
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
Yes
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C or higher
No
27°C 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$34,891 交易量
$34,891 交易量
2026-08-16
22°C or below
$2,388 交易量
No
23°C
$1,415 交易量
No
24°C
$402 交易量
No
25°C
$2,687 交易量
No
26°C
$5,630 交易量
No
27°C
$10,161 交易量
Yes
28°C
$6,174 交易量
No
29°C
$3,634 交易量
No
30°C
$1,075 交易量
No
31°C
$1,057 交易量
No
32°C or higher
$268 交易量
No
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official meteorological forecasts from agencies including the Turkish State Meteorological Service and international models such as those from ECMWF and GFS show Ankara experiencing clear skies, light northeasterly winds, and a daytime maximum near 27°C on August 16, consistent with late-summer climatology for the Anatolian plateau where average August highs reach about 29°C. Real-time surface observations and satellite data reinforce this temperature range without indications of anomalous warming from regional pressure systems or urban heat effects. At 100% market-implied probability, traders reflect near-certainty in verified station readings from central Ankara. A rapid shift in steering patterns or unforecasted subsidence could still produce a higher peak, though current model agreement and timing late in the day make such revisions improbable.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
交易量
$34,891结束日期
2026-08-16市场开放时间
Aug 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official meteorological forecasts from agencies including the Turkish State Meteorological Service and international models such as those from ECMWF and GFS show Ankara experiencing clear skies, light northeasterly winds, and a daytime maximum near 27°C on August 16, consistent with late-summer climatology for the Anatolian plateau where average August highs reach about 29°C. Real-time surface observations and satellite data reinforce this temperature range without indications of anomalous warming from regional pressure systems or urban heat effects. At 100% market-implied probability, traders reflect near-certainty in verified station readings from central Ankara. A rapid shift in steering patterns or unforecasted subsidence could still produce a higher peak, though current model agreement and timing late in the day make such revisions improbable.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$34,891结束日期
2026-08-16市场开放时间
Aug 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
Official meteorological forecasts from agencies including the Turkish State Meteorological Service and international models such as those from ECMWF and GFS show Ankara experiencing clear skies, light northeasterly winds, and a daytime maximum near 27°C on August 16, consistent with late-summer climatology for the Anatolian plateau where average August highs reach about 29°C. Real-time surface observations and satellite data reinforce this temperature range without indications of anomalous warming from regional pressure systems or urban heat effects. At 100% market-implied probability, traders reflect near-certainty in verified station readings from central Ankara. A rapid shift in steering patterns or unforecasted subsidence could still produce a higher peak, though current model agreement and timing late in the day make such revisions improbable.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题