Official National Weather Service observations recorded a 95°F maximum temperature in Atlanta on August 15, 2026, at 2:22 p.m. EDT under a strengthening high-pressure dome that delivered mostly sunny skies, light winds, and limited afternoon convection. This aligns precisely with the market’s 94–95°F bin at full implied probability, consistent with seasonal norms near the upper end of Atlanta’s August climatology and daytime heating that pushed heat-index values above 100°F. Model consensus from the prior 48 hours had already converged on this narrow range with minimal spread. Only an unprecedented post-observation revision by the National Weather Service or a localized sensor anomaly could alter the recorded high, both of which remain statistically improbable given standard quality-control protocols.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月15日亚特兰大最高温度？
8月15日亚特兰大最高温度？
94-95°F 100.0%
85°F or below <1%
86-87°F <1%
88-89°F <1%
$52,884 交易量
$52,884 交易量
2026-08-15
85°F or below
No
86-87°F
No
88-89°F
No
90-91°F
No
92-93°F
No
94-95°F
Yes
96-97°F
No
98-99°F
No
100-101°F
No
102-103°F
No
104°F or higher
No
94-95°F 100.0%
85°F or below <1%
86-87°F <1%
88-89°F <1%
$52,884 交易量
$52,884 交易量
2026-08-15
85°F or below
$1,136 交易量
No
86-87°F
$8,803 交易量
No
88-89°F
$7,154 交易量
No
90-91°F
$4,196 交易量
No
92-93°F
$5,364 交易量
No
94-95°F
$10,259 交易量
Yes
96-97°F
$6,684 交易量
No
98-99°F
$5,023 交易量
No
100-101°F
$2,671 交易量
No
102-103°F
$1,058 交易量
No
104°F or higher
$537 交易量
No
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Hartsfield-Jackson International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Hartsfield-Jackson International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ga/atlanta/KATL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official National Weather Service observations recorded a 95°F maximum temperature in Atlanta on August 15, 2026, at 2:22 p.m. EDT under a strengthening high-pressure dome that delivered mostly sunny skies, light winds, and limited afternoon convection. This aligns precisely with the market’s 94–95°F bin at full implied probability, consistent with seasonal norms near the upper end of Atlanta’s August climatology and daytime heating that pushed heat-index values above 100°F. Model consensus from the prior 48 hours had already converged on this narrow range with minimal spread. Only an unprecedented post-observation revision by the National Weather Service or a localized sensor anomaly could alter the recorded high, both of which remain statistically improbable given standard quality-control protocols.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Hartsfield-Jackson International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Hartsfield-Jackson International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ga/atlanta/KATL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Hartsfield-Jackson International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Hartsfield-Jackson International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ga/atlanta/KATL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 13, 2026, 8:56 PM ET
交易量
$52,884结束日期
2026-08-15市场开放时间
Aug 13, 2026, 8:56 PM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Hartsfield-Jackson International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Hartsfield-Jackson International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ga/atlanta/KATL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official National Weather Service observations recorded a 95°F maximum temperature in Atlanta on August 15, 2026, at 2:22 p.m. EDT under a strengthening high-pressure dome that delivered mostly sunny skies, light winds, and limited afternoon convection. This aligns precisely with the market’s 94–95°F bin at full implied probability, consistent with seasonal norms near the upper end of Atlanta’s August climatology and daytime heating that pushed heat-index values above 100°F. Model consensus from the prior 48 hours had already converged on this narrow range with minimal spread. Only an unprecedented post-observation revision by the National Weather Service or a localized sensor anomaly could alter the recorded high, both of which remain statistically improbable given standard quality-control protocols.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Hartsfield-Jackson International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Hartsfield-Jackson International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ga/atlanta/KATL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Hartsfield-Jackson International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Hartsfield-Jackson International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ga/atlanta/KATL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$52,884结束日期
2026-08-15市场开放时间
Aug 13, 2026, 8:56 PM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
Official National Weather Service observations recorded a 95°F maximum temperature in Atlanta on August 15, 2026, at 2:22 p.m. EDT under a strengthening high-pressure dome that delivered mostly sunny skies, light winds, and limited afternoon convection. This aligns precisely with the market’s 94–95°F bin at full implied probability, consistent with seasonal norms near the upper end of Atlanta’s August climatology and daytime heating that pushed heat-index values above 100°F. Model consensus from the prior 48 hours had already converged on this narrow range with minimal spread. Only an unprecedented post-observation revision by the National Weather Service or a localized sensor anomaly could alter the recorded high, both of which remain statistically improbable given standard quality-control protocols.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题