Traders have locked in 92-93°F as the highest temperature recorded in Miami on August 15, consistent with National Weather Service observations from Miami International Airport. This outcome aligns with typical late-summer patterns under a subtropical high-pressure ridge, where daytime heating combines with light southeasterly flow and urban heat effects to produce afternoon peaks in the low 90s. Dew points near 75°F supported high humidity but limited further warming, while sea-breeze convergence remained weak enough to avoid significant cooling or convective suppression. The market’s 100% implied probability reflects finalized station data with little revision risk. Only an unforecasted thunderstorm cell or sharp wind shift introducing cooler marine air could have produced a meaningfully different maximum, neither of which occurred.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月15日迈阿密气温最高？
8月15日迈阿密气温最高？
92-93°F 100.0%
79°F or below <1%
80-81°F <1%
82-83°F <1%
$56,556 交易量
$56,556 交易量
2026-08-15
79°F or below
No
80-81°F
No
82-83°F
No
84-85°F
No
86-87°F
No
88-89°F
No
90-91°F
No
92-93°F
是
94-95°F
否
96-97°F
否
98°F或更高
否
92-93°F 100.0%
79°F or below <1%
80-81°F <1%
82-83°F <1%
$56,556 交易量
$56,556 交易量
2026-08-15
79°F or below
$132 交易量
No
80-81°F
$259 交易量
No
82-83°F
$232 交易量
No
84-85°F
$2,023 交易量
No
86-87°F
$1,709 交易量
No
88-89°F
$4,064 交易量
No
90-91°F
$8,164 交易量
No
92-93°F
$21,759 交易量
是
94-95°F
$10,389 交易量
否
96-97°F
$3,157 交易量
否
98°F或更高
$4,668 交易量
否
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders have locked in 92-93°F as the highest temperature recorded in Miami on August 15, consistent with National Weather Service observations from Miami International Airport. This outcome aligns with typical late-summer patterns under a subtropical high-pressure ridge, where daytime heating combines with light southeasterly flow and urban heat effects to produce afternoon peaks in the low 90s. Dew points near 75°F supported high humidity but limited further warming, while sea-breeze convergence remained weak enough to avoid significant cooling or convective suppression. The market’s 100% implied probability reflects finalized station data with little revision risk. Only an unforecasted thunderstorm cell or sharp wind shift introducing cooler marine air could have produced a meaningfully different maximum, neither of which occurred.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 13, 2026, 8:56 PM ET
交易量
$56,556结束日期
2026-08-15市场开放时间
Aug 13, 2026, 8:56 PM ET已提议结果: 是
无争议
最终结果: 是
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders have locked in 92-93°F as the highest temperature recorded in Miami on August 15, consistent with National Weather Service observations from Miami International Airport. This outcome aligns with typical late-summer patterns under a subtropical high-pressure ridge, where daytime heating combines with light southeasterly flow and urban heat effects to produce afternoon peaks in the low 90s. Dew points near 75°F supported high humidity but limited further warming, while sea-breeze convergence remained weak enough to avoid significant cooling or convective suppression. The market’s 100% implied probability reflects finalized station data with little revision risk. Only an unforecasted thunderstorm cell or sharp wind shift introducing cooler marine air could have produced a meaningfully different maximum, neither of which occurred.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$56,556结束日期
2026-08-15市场开放时间
Aug 13, 2026, 8:56 PM ET已提议结果: 是
无争议
最终结果: 是
Traders have locked in 92-93°F as the highest temperature recorded in Miami on August 15, consistent with National Weather Service observations from Miami International Airport. This outcome aligns with typical late-summer patterns under a subtropical high-pressure ridge, where daytime heating combines with light southeasterly flow and urban heat effects to produce afternoon peaks in the low 90s. Dew points near 75°F supported high humidity but limited further warming, while sea-breeze convergence remained weak enough to avoid significant cooling or convective suppression. The market’s 100% implied probability reflects finalized station data with little revision risk. Only an unforecasted thunderstorm cell or sharp wind shift introducing cooler marine air could have produced a meaningfully different maximum, neither of which occurred.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题