Current meteorological forecasts from official agencies point to a maximum temperature of 26°C in Moscow on May 17, underpinning the market’s near-certain consensus on this outcome. Stable high-pressure systems and typical mid-May spring warming patterns support this level, consistent with historical baselines and ensemble model runs showing minimal deviation. Key variables such as wind direction and cloud cover remain aligned with these projections. Only an abrupt shift in local atmospheric circulation or unseasonal heat advection could realistically push readings higher before the close of the observation period, though present data indicate low probability of such changes.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于莫斯科5月17日最高气温?
26°C 100.0%
27°C <1%
28°C or higher <1%
$45,128 交易量
$45,128 交易量
26°C
100%
27°C
<1%
28°C or higher
<1%
26°C 100.0%
27°C <1%
28°C or higher <1%
$45,128 交易量
$45,128 交易量
26°C
100%
27°C
<1%
28°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间: May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Current meteorological forecasts from official agencies point to a maximum temperature of 26°C in Moscow on May 17, underpinning the market’s near-certain consensus on this outcome. Stable high-pressure systems and typical mid-May spring warming patterns support this level, consistent with historical baselines and ensemble model runs showing minimal deviation. Key variables such as wind direction and cloud cover remain aligned with these projections. Only an abrupt shift in local atmospheric circulation or unseasonal heat advection could realistically push readings higher before the close of the observation period, though present data indicate low probability of such changes.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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