Recent short-range model consensus and Israel Meteorological Service guidance point to a daytime maximum near 33°C in Tel Aviv on August 21, supporting the market's 70% implied probability for that outcome. Typical late-August Mediterranean conditions—persistent subtropical high pressure, clear skies, and light northwesterly flow—limit heat advection while allowing strong solar heating under long daylight. Ensemble forecasts show low spread around 32–34°C, with minimal moisture or cloud cover expected to moderate temperatures. Historical August climatology for the coastal plain averages 30–32°C, yet recent model runs favor the upper end of that range. Updated guidance on August 20 will provide the final observational inputs before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月21日特拉维夫的最高温度？
8月21日特拉维夫的最高温度？
33°C 70%
34°C 23%
32°C 8%
31°C 2%
最新
最新
2026-08-21
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
2%
32°C
8%
33°C
70%
34°C
23%
35°C
2%
36°C
1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C or higher
<1%
33°C 70%
34°C 23%
32°C 8%
31°C 2%
最新
最新
2026-08-21
29°C or below
$262 交易量
<1%
30°C
$440 交易量
<1%
31°C
$124 交易量
2%
32°C
$315 交易量
8%
33°C
$441 交易量
70%
34°C
$312 交易量
23%
35°C
$136 交易量
2%
36°C
$142 交易量
1%
37°C
$101 交易量
<1%
38°C
$214 交易量
<1%
39°C or higher
$388 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range model consensus and Israel Meteorological Service guidance point to a daytime maximum near 33°C in Tel Aviv on August 21, supporting the market's 70% implied probability for that outcome. Typical late-August Mediterranean conditions—persistent subtropical high pressure, clear skies, and light northwesterly flow—limit heat advection while allowing strong solar heating under long daylight. Ensemble forecasts show low spread around 32–34°C, with minimal moisture or cloud cover expected to moderate temperatures. Historical August climatology for the coastal plain averages 30–32°C, yet recent model runs favor the upper end of that range. Updated guidance on August 20 will provide the final observational inputs before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 19, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
交易量
$2,875结束日期
2026-08-21市场开放时间
Aug 19, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range model consensus and Israel Meteorological Service guidance point to a daytime maximum near 33°C in Tel Aviv on August 21, supporting the market's 70% implied probability for that outcome. Typical late-August Mediterranean conditions—persistent subtropical high pressure, clear skies, and light northwesterly flow—limit heat advection while allowing strong solar heating under long daylight. Ensemble forecasts show low spread around 32–34°C, with minimal moisture or cloud cover expected to moderate temperatures. Historical August climatology for the coastal plain averages 30–32°C, yet recent model runs favor the upper end of that range. Updated guidance on August 20 will provide the final observational inputs before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$2,875结束日期
2026-08-21市场开放时间
Aug 19, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent short-range model consensus and Israel Meteorological Service guidance point to a daytime maximum near 33°C in Tel Aviv on August 21, supporting the market's 70% implied probability for that outcome. Typical late-August Mediterranean conditions—persistent subtropical high pressure, clear skies, and light northwesterly flow—limit heat advection while allowing strong solar heating under long daylight. Ensemble forecasts show low spread around 32–34°C, with minimal moisture or cloud cover expected to moderate temperatures. Historical August climatology for the coastal plain averages 30–32°C, yet recent model runs favor the upper end of that range. Updated guidance on August 20 will provide the final observational inputs before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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