Recent ensemble forecasts from AccuWeather and regional models indicate Tel Aviv daytime highs of 33–34°C on August 3, supported by persistent high-pressure systems, light westerly flow, and minimal cloud cover typical of Mediterranean summer conditions. This consensus aligns with the market's leading 34°C outcome at 53.5% implied probability, while 33°C (27%) and 35°C (17.5%) capture the modest spread in guidance. Long-term August averages near 31–32°C provide baseline context, yet current model runs show limited deviation without extreme heat signals or unusual synoptic shifts. Resolution will depend on official Israel Meteorological Service station readings, with final data releases expected shortly after the date.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月3日特拉维夫最高气温?
34°C 54%
33°C 26%
35°C 21%
31°C or below 2%
31°C or below
2%
32°C
2%
33°C
26%
34°C
54%
35°C
21%
36°C
2%
37°C
2%
38°C
1%
39°C
<1%
40°C
<1%
41°C or higher
<1%
34°C 54%
33°C 26%
35°C 21%
31°C or below 2%
31°C or below
2%
32°C
2%
33°C
26%
34°C
54%
35°C
21%
36°C
2%
37°C
2%
38°C
1%
39°C
<1%
40°C
<1%
41°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Aug 1, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble forecasts from AccuWeather and regional models indicate Tel Aviv daytime highs of 33–34°C on August 3, supported by persistent high-pressure systems, light westerly flow, and minimal cloud cover typical of Mediterranean summer conditions. This consensus aligns with the market's leading 34°C outcome at 53.5% implied probability, while 33°C (27%) and 35°C (17.5%) capture the modest spread in guidance. Long-term August averages near 31–32°C provide baseline context, yet current model runs show limited deviation without extreme heat signals or unusual synoptic shifts. Resolution will depend on official Israel Meteorological Service station readings, with final data releases expected shortly after the date.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于



警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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