Recent forecast model consensus from sources including the Israel Meteorological Service and GFS runs positions the September 18 maximum near 30–31°C, aligning with the market's heavy weighting on those outcomes. Westerly flow and scattered showers or increased cloud cover are expected to limit peak heating, consistent with mid-September climatology where daily highs average around 30–31°C along the coastal plain. Minor model differences in timing of any precipitation or wind shifts introduce limited uncertainty for a 29°C or 32°C result, while historical extremes remain well outside current guidance. Updated model runs and official briefings through the 17th will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月18日特拉维夫的最高温度？
9月18日特拉维夫的最高温度？
31°C 66%
30°C 23%
32°C 10%
29°C 4%
最新
最新
2026-09-18
27°C或以下
<1%
28°C
2%
29°C
4%
30°C
23%
31°C
66%
32°C
10%
33°C
1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C或更高
<1%
31°C 66%
30°C 23%
32°C 10%
29°C 4%
最新
最新
2026-09-18
27°C或以下
$31 交易量
<1%
28°C
$215 交易量
2%
29°C
$800 交易量
4%
30°C
$610 交易量
23%
31°C
$2,223 交易量
66%
32°C
$777 交易量
10%
33°C
$140 交易量
1%
34°C
$53 交易量
<1%
35°C
$640 交易量
<1%
36°C
$119 交易量
<1%
37°C或更高
$119 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model consensus from sources including the Israel Meteorological Service and GFS runs positions the September 18 maximum near 30–31°C, aligning with the market's heavy weighting on those outcomes. Westerly flow and scattered showers or increased cloud cover are expected to limit peak heating, consistent with mid-September climatology where daily highs average around 30–31°C along the coastal plain. Minor model differences in timing of any precipitation or wind shifts introduce limited uncertainty for a 29°C or 32°C result, while historical extremes remain well outside current guidance. Updated model runs and official briefings through the 17th will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 16, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
交易量
$5,727结束日期
2026-09-18市场开放时间
Sep 16, 2026, 12:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model consensus from sources including the Israel Meteorological Service and GFS runs positions the September 18 maximum near 30–31°C, aligning with the market's heavy weighting on those outcomes. Westerly flow and scattered showers or increased cloud cover are expected to limit peak heating, consistent with mid-September climatology where daily highs average around 30–31°C along the coastal plain. Minor model differences in timing of any precipitation or wind shifts introduce limited uncertainty for a 29°C or 32°C result, while historical extremes remain well outside current guidance. Updated model runs and official briefings through the 17th will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$5,727结束日期
2026-09-18市场开放时间
Sep 16, 2026, 12:56 AM ETRecent forecast model consensus from sources including the Israel Meteorological Service and GFS runs positions the September 18 maximum near 30–31°C, aligning with the market's heavy weighting on those outcomes. Westerly flow and scattered showers or increased cloud cover are expected to limit peak heating, consistent with mid-September climatology where daily highs average around 30–31°C along the coastal plain. Minor model differences in timing of any precipitation or wind shifts introduce limited uncertainty for a 29°C or 32°C result, while historical extremes remain well outside current guidance. Updated model runs and official briefings through the 17th will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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