Forecast models from sources including the GFS and regional guidance indicate the overnight low in Tel Aviv on September 18 will likely settle near 25°C, with a modest chance of light showers or increased cloud cover limiting radiative cooling and keeping readings closer to 26–27°C. Westerly winds of 10–15 km/h and dew points near 21–23°C should moderate further drops, while clearer periods could allow temperatures to dip toward 23–24°C. This narrow spread around seasonal norms—historically 22–24°C for mid-September—explains the tightly clustered market probabilities, as traders weigh ensemble variability and the potential for minor shifts in steering patterns or moisture. Updated runs from the Israel Meteorological Service and additional satellite observations overnight will provide the next key inputs for resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月18日特拉维夫最低气温?
20°C或以下 54%
30°C或更高 54%
25°C 46%
26°C 40%
20°C或以下
54%
21°C
7%
22°C
39%
23°C
38%
24°C
21%
25°C
46%
26°C
40%
27°C
21%
28°C
15%
29°C
13%
30°C或更高
54%
20°C或以下 54%
30°C或更高 54%
25°C 46%
26°C 40%
20°C或以下
54%
21°C
7%
22°C
39%
23°C
38%
24°C
21%
25°C
46%
26°C
40%
27°C
21%
28°C
15%
29°C
13%
30°C或更高
54%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Sep 16, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Forecast models from sources including the GFS and regional guidance indicate the overnight low in Tel Aviv on September 18 will likely settle near 25°C, with a modest chance of light showers or increased cloud cover limiting radiative cooling and keeping readings closer to 26–27°C. Westerly winds of 10–15 km/h and dew points near 21–23°C should moderate further drops, while clearer periods could allow temperatures to dip toward 23–24°C. This narrow spread around seasonal norms—historically 22–24°C for mid-September—explains the tightly clustered market probabilities, as traders weigh ensemble variability and the potential for minor shifts in steering patterns or moisture. Updated runs from the Israel Meteorological Service and additional satellite observations overnight will provide the next key inputs for resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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