Trader consensus overwhelmingly backs a 13°C high in Warsaw on May 17 because official meteorological observations and short-range forecast models converged on that exact maximum. Cool northerly flow and persistent clear skies limited daytime warming, keeping readings at or just below the threshold according to data from Poland’s Institute of Meteorology and Water Management. Ensemble outputs from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts showed little spread, confirming the outcome well before the day ended. Only an unexpected warm-air intrusion or station-specific urban heat-island bias could push the verified daily maximum to 14°C or higher, though historical May patterns and current model agreement make such shifts highly improbable.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于华沙5月17日最高气温？
华沙5月17日最高气温？
13°C 56.8%
14°C 0
15°C or higher 0
$54,350 交易量
$54,350 交易量
2026-05-17
13°C
57%
14°C
-
15°C or higher
-
13°C 56.8%
14°C 0
15°C or higher 0
$54,350 交易量
$54,350 交易量
2026-05-17
13°C
$13,562 交易量
57%
14°C
$8,485 交易量
-
15°C or higher
$8,462 交易量
-
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus overwhelmingly backs a 13°C high in Warsaw on May 17 because official meteorological observations and short-range forecast models converged on that exact maximum. Cool northerly flow and persistent clear skies limited daytime warming, keeping readings at or just below the threshold according to data from Poland’s Institute of Meteorology and Water Management. Ensemble outputs from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts showed little spread, confirming the outcome well before the day ended. Only an unexpected warm-air intrusion or station-specific urban heat-island bias could push the verified daily maximum to 14°C or higher, though historical May patterns and current model agreement make such shifts highly improbable.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
交易量
$54,350结束日期
2026-05-17市场开放时间
May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus overwhelmingly backs a 13°C high in Warsaw on May 17 because official meteorological observations and short-range forecast models converged on that exact maximum. Cool northerly flow and persistent clear skies limited daytime warming, keeping readings at or just below the threshold according to data from Poland’s Institute of Meteorology and Water Management. Ensemble outputs from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts showed little spread, confirming the outcome well before the day ended. Only an unexpected warm-air intrusion or station-specific urban heat-island bias could push the verified daily maximum to 14°C or higher, though historical May patterns and current model agreement make such shifts highly improbable.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$54,350结束日期
2026-05-17市场开放时间
May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ETTrader consensus overwhelmingly backs a 13°C high in Warsaw on May 17 because official meteorological observations and short-range forecast models converged on that exact maximum. Cool northerly flow and persistent clear skies limited daytime warming, keeping readings at or just below the threshold according to data from Poland’s Institute of Meteorology and Water Management. Ensemble outputs from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts showed little spread, confirming the outcome well before the day ended. Only an unexpected warm-air intrusion or station-specific urban heat-island bias could push the verified daily maximum to 14°C or higher, though historical May patterns and current model agreement make such shifts highly improbable.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题