Recent forecasts for Warsaw on September 11 show a cool, mostly cloudy day following a cold front and rain on the 10th, with highs clustered around 17–19°C across models. Light southwesterly winds and building high pressure favor limited daytime warming under variable cloud cover that reduces solar heating. The tight market split between 18°C (37.5%) and 19°C (34.5%) reflects model uncertainty in afternoon clearing and exact maximum insolation, while lower probabilities for 17°C or 20°C capture smaller risks from thicker clouds or brief breaks allowing extra warming. Historical mid-September averages near 18–20°C provide context, but the post-frontal air mass keeps extremes unlikely.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月11日华沙气温最高？
9月11日华沙气温最高？
18°C 38%
19°C 36%
17°C 16%
20°C 7%
最新
最新
2026-09-11
14°C或以下
4%
15°C
4%
16°C
6%
17°C
16%
18°C
38%
19°C
36%
20°C
7%
21°C
4%
22°C
3%
23°C
2%
24°C或更高
2%
18°C 38%
19°C 36%
17°C 16%
20°C 7%
最新
最新
2026-09-11
14°C或以下
$40 交易量
4%
15°C
$40 交易量
4%
16°C
$101 交易量
6%
17°C
$0 交易量
16%
18°C
$40 交易量
38%
19°C
$176 交易量
36%
20°C
$131 交易量
7%
21°C
$11 交易量
4%
22°C
$0 交易量
3%
23°C
$0 交易量
2%
24°C或更高
$0 交易量
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Warsaw on September 11 show a cool, mostly cloudy day following a cold front and rain on the 10th, with highs clustered around 17–19°C across models. Light southwesterly winds and building high pressure favor limited daytime warming under variable cloud cover that reduces solar heating. The tight market split between 18°C (37.5%) and 19°C (34.5%) reflects model uncertainty in afternoon clearing and exact maximum insolation, while lower probabilities for 17°C or 20°C capture smaller risks from thicker clouds or brief breaks allowing extra warming. Historical mid-September averages near 18–20°C provide context, but the post-frontal air mass keeps extremes unlikely.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 9, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
交易量
$539结束日期
2026-09-11市场开放时间
Sep 9, 2026, 12:57 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Warsaw on September 11 show a cool, mostly cloudy day following a cold front and rain on the 10th, with highs clustered around 17–19°C across models. Light southwesterly winds and building high pressure favor limited daytime warming under variable cloud cover that reduces solar heating. The tight market split between 18°C (37.5%) and 19°C (34.5%) reflects model uncertainty in afternoon clearing and exact maximum insolation, while lower probabilities for 17°C or 20°C capture smaller risks from thicker clouds or brief breaks allowing extra warming. Historical mid-September averages near 18–20°C provide context, but the post-frontal air mass keeps extremes unlikely.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$539结束日期
2026-09-11市场开放时间
Sep 9, 2026, 12:57 AM ETRecent forecasts for Warsaw on September 11 show a cool, mostly cloudy day following a cold front and rain on the 10th, with highs clustered around 17–19°C across models. Light southwesterly winds and building high pressure favor limited daytime warming under variable cloud cover that reduces solar heating. The tight market split between 18°C (37.5%) and 19°C (34.5%) reflects model uncertainty in afternoon clearing and exact maximum insolation, while lower probabilities for 17°C or 20°C capture smaller risks from thicker clouds or brief breaks allowing extra warming. Historical mid-September averages near 18–20°C provide context, but the post-frontal air mass keeps extremes unlikely.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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