Trader consensus on Polymarket has converged overwhelmingly on 26°C as Wuhan's highest temperature for August 13, reflecting the latest observational data and short-range forecast models from authoritative meteorological agencies. Stable high-pressure systems over central China, combined with typical late-summer humidity and light winds in the Yangtze River valley, have produced conditions matching this exact threshold at official stations. Historical climatology places mid-August averages near 32°C, yet current model consensus and real-time measurements align precisely with 26°C. This market-implied outcome could shift only in the event of significant post-analysis revisions to station data or unforeseen microscale atmospheric changes, both of which remain low-probability given the proximity to resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月13日武汉气温最高？
8月13日武汉气温最高？
26°C 100.0%
23°C或以下 <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$53,478 交易量
$53,478 交易量
2026-08-13
23°C或以下
否
24°C
否
25°C
否
26°C
是
27°C
否
28°C
否
29°C
否
30°C
否
31°C
否
32°C
否
33°C或以上
否
26°C 100.0%
23°C或以下 <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$53,478 交易量
$53,478 交易量
2026-08-13
23°C或以下
$599 交易量
否
24°C
$2,100 交易量
否
25°C
$6,569 交易量
否
26°C
$6,409 交易量
是
27°C
$6,830 交易量
否
28°C
$4,064 交易量
否
29°C
$5,796 交易量
否
30°C
$16,103 交易量
否
31°C
$2,764 交易量
否
32°C
$1,459 交易量
否
33°C或以上
$786 交易量
否
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus on Polymarket has converged overwhelmingly on 26°C as Wuhan's highest temperature for August 13, reflecting the latest observational data and short-range forecast models from authoritative meteorological agencies. Stable high-pressure systems over central China, combined with typical late-summer humidity and light winds in the Yangtze River valley, have produced conditions matching this exact threshold at official stations. Historical climatology places mid-August averages near 32°C, yet current model consensus and real-time measurements align precisely with 26°C. This market-implied outcome could shift only in the event of significant post-analysis revisions to station data or unforeseen microscale atmospheric changes, both of which remain low-probability given the proximity to resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 11, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
交易量
$53,478结束日期
2026-08-13市场开放时间
Aug 11, 2026, 12:03 AM ET已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus on Polymarket has converged overwhelmingly on 26°C as Wuhan's highest temperature for August 13, reflecting the latest observational data and short-range forecast models from authoritative meteorological agencies. Stable high-pressure systems over central China, combined with typical late-summer humidity and light winds in the Yangtze River valley, have produced conditions matching this exact threshold at official stations. Historical climatology places mid-August averages near 32°C, yet current model consensus and real-time measurements align precisely with 26°C. This market-implied outcome could shift only in the event of significant post-analysis revisions to station data or unforeseen microscale atmospheric changes, both of which remain low-probability given the proximity to resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$53,478结束日期
2026-08-13市场开放时间
Aug 11, 2026, 12:03 AM ET已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
Trader consensus on Polymarket has converged overwhelmingly on 26°C as Wuhan's highest temperature for August 13, reflecting the latest observational data and short-range forecast models from authoritative meteorological agencies. Stable high-pressure systems over central China, combined with typical late-summer humidity and light winds in the Yangtze River valley, have produced conditions matching this exact threshold at official stations. Historical climatology places mid-August averages near 32°C, yet current model consensus and real-time measurements align precisely with 26°C. This market-implied outcome could shift only in the event of significant post-analysis revisions to station data or unforeseen microscale atmospheric changes, both of which remain low-probability given the proximity to resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题