Global seismic activity monitored by the USGS remains at moderate levels during the May 11–17 window, with isolated events in the 5.5–6.0 range reported across the Pacific Ring of Fire and no large aftershock sequences or major tectonic clusters emerging in the past 48 hours. This pattern aligns closely with climatological averages of six to eight magnitude 5.5+ earthquakes per week worldwide, supporting the market-implied 72 percent probability for a final count of seven. Model consensus from ongoing USGS catalog updates shows no imminent surge drivers such as swarm activity in Nevada or New Zealand, while resolution hinges strictly on the official tally of events meeting the magnitude threshold by 11:59 p.m. ET on May 17.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于How many 5.5 or above earthquakes May 11 - May 17?
How many 5.5 or above earthquakes May 11 - May 17?
6 28.8%
8 14.3%
9 4.0%
5 1.0%
$133,734 交易量
$133,734 交易量
2026-05-17
≤3
<1%
4
1%
5
1%
6
22%
7
49%
8
14%
9
4%
>9
<1%
6 28.8%
8 14.3%
9 4.0%
5 1.0%
$133,734 交易量
$133,734 交易量
2026-05-17
≤3
$57,774 交易量
<1%
4
$20,043 交易量
1%
5
$20,156 交易量
1%
6
$3,826 交易量
22%
7
$2,775 交易量
49%
8
$4,952 交易量
14%
9
$6,199 交易量
4%
>9
$18,009 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 5.5 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between May 11, 2026, 12:00 AM ET, and May 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program, with the minimum magnitude set to 5.5 and the date parameters set to the relevant dates for this market's timeframe (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
This market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded. If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.Global seismic activity monitored by the USGS remains at moderate levels during the May 11–17 window, with isolated events in the 5.5–6.0 range reported across the Pacific Ring of Fire and no large aftershock sequences or major tectonic clusters emerging in the past 48 hours. This pattern aligns closely with climatological averages of six to eight magnitude 5.5+ earthquakes per week worldwide, supporting the market-implied 72 percent probability for a final count of seven. Model consensus from ongoing USGS catalog updates shows no imminent surge drivers such as swarm activity in Nevada or New Zealand, while resolution hinges strictly on the official tally of events meeting the magnitude threshold by 11:59 p.m. ET on May 17.
This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 5.5 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between May 11, 2026, 12:00 AM ET, and May 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program, with the minimum magnitude set to 5.5 and the date parameters set to the relevant dates for this market's timeframe (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
This market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded. If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program, with the minimum magnitude set to 5.5 and the date parameters set to the relevant dates for this market's timeframe (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
This market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded. If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.
市场开放时间： May 9, 2026, 12:01 PM ET
交易量
$133,734结束日期
2026-05-17市场开放时间
May 9, 2026, 12:01 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 5.5 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between May 11, 2026, 12:00 AM ET, and May 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program, with the minimum magnitude set to 5.5 and the date parameters set to the relevant dates for this market's timeframe (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
This market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded. If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.Global seismic activity monitored by the USGS remains at moderate levels during the May 11–17 window, with isolated events in the 5.5–6.0 range reported across the Pacific Ring of Fire and no large aftershock sequences or major tectonic clusters emerging in the past 48 hours. This pattern aligns closely with climatological averages of six to eight magnitude 5.5+ earthquakes per week worldwide, supporting the market-implied 72 percent probability for a final count of seven. Model consensus from ongoing USGS catalog updates shows no imminent surge drivers such as swarm activity in Nevada or New Zealand, while resolution hinges strictly on the official tally of events meeting the magnitude threshold by 11:59 p.m. ET on May 17.
This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 5.5 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between May 11, 2026, 12:00 AM ET, and May 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program, with the minimum magnitude set to 5.5 and the date parameters set to the relevant dates for this market's timeframe (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
This market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded. If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program, with the minimum magnitude set to 5.5 and the date parameters set to the relevant dates for this market's timeframe (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
This market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded. If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.
交易量
$133,734结束日期
2026-05-17市场开放时间
May 9, 2026, 12:01 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Global seismic activity monitored by the USGS remains at moderate levels during the May 11–17 window, with isolated events in the 5.5–6.0 range reported across the Pacific Ring of Fire and no large aftershock sequences or major tectonic clusters emerging in the past 48 hours. This pattern aligns closely with climatological averages of six to eight magnitude 5.5+ earthquakes per week worldwide, supporting the market-implied 72 percent probability for a final count of seven. Model consensus from ongoing USGS catalog updates shows no imminent surge drivers such as swarm activity in Nevada or New Zealand, while resolution hinges strictly on the official tally of events meeting the magnitude threshold by 11:59 p.m. ET on May 17.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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