Ongoing U.S.-Iran negotiations over Tehran's nuclear program continue to shape trader assessments of whether enrichment will end by year-end. Iran has signaled readiness to downblend its highly enriched uranium stockpile domestically under IAEA supervision while rejecting any transfer abroad or long-term moratorium on its enrichment rights. Washington's latest proposals seek limits on enrichment activities alongside sanctions relief, yet core differences persist on permanent halts and stockpile handling. These diplomatic exchanges, including Iran's review of a U.S. memorandum on nuclear restrictions, have kept probabilities near even as both sides weigh compromises against longstanding red lines. Further progress on verified suspension or renewed impasse could quickly shift the balance.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于是
$194,991 交易量
$194,991 交易量
2026-12-31
是
$194,991 交易量
$194,991 交易量
2026-12-31
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran publicly agrees to end all enrichment of uranium by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. Ongoing U.S.-Iran negotiations over Tehran's nuclear program continue to shape trader assessments of whether enrichment will end by year-end. Iran has signaled readiness to downblend its highly enriched uranium stockpile domestically under IAEA supervision while rejecting any transfer abroad or long-term moratorium on its enrichment rights. Washington's latest proposals seek limits on enrichment activities alongside sanctions relief, yet core differences persist on permanent halts and stockpile handling. These diplomatic exchanges, including Iran's review of a U.S. memorandum on nuclear restrictions, have kept probabilities near even as both sides weigh compromises against longstanding red lines. Further progress on verified suspension or renewed impasse could quickly shift the balance.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran publicly agrees to end all enrichment of uranium by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
市场开放时间： Mar 31, 2026, 4:10 PM ET
交易量
$194,991结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Mar 31, 2026, 4:10 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran publicly agrees to end all enrichment of uranium by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. Ongoing U.S.-Iran negotiations over Tehran's nuclear program continue to shape trader assessments of whether enrichment will end by year-end. Iran has signaled readiness to downblend its highly enriched uranium stockpile domestically under IAEA supervision while rejecting any transfer abroad or long-term moratorium on its enrichment rights. Washington's latest proposals seek limits on enrichment activities alongside sanctions relief, yet core differences persist on permanent halts and stockpile handling. These diplomatic exchanges, including Iran's review of a U.S. memorandum on nuclear restrictions, have kept probabilities near even as both sides weigh compromises against longstanding red lines. Further progress on verified suspension or renewed impasse could quickly shift the balance.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran publicly agrees to end all enrichment of uranium by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$194,991结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Mar 31, 2026, 4:10 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Ongoing U.S.-Iran negotiations over Tehran's nuclear program continue to shape trader assessments of whether enrichment will end by year-end. Iran has signaled readiness to downblend its highly enriched uranium stockpile domestically under IAEA supervision while rejecting any transfer abroad or long-term moratorium on its enrichment rights. Washington's latest proposals seek limits on enrichment activities alongside sanctions relief, yet core differences persist on permanent halts and stockpile handling. These diplomatic exchanges, including Iran's review of a U.S. memorandum on nuclear restrictions, have kept probabilities near even as both sides weigh compromises against longstanding red lines. Further progress on verified suspension or renewed impasse could quickly shift the balance.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题