The @khamenei_ir account, now operated in the name of the late Supreme Leader, maintains a deliberate low-volume cadence focused on archival quotes, religious themes, commemorative images, and occasional geopolitical messaging. Recent posts in mid-August 2026 appeared roughly every few days without acceleration, consistent with patterns observed across multiple prior weeks and similar prediction markets. No major scheduled events, leadership announcements, or confirmed escalations in the Iran-Israel-US conflict fall precisely within August 25–September 1 that would prompt a sustained increase. Traders therefore assign the highest implied probability to fewer than five posts, with mid-range buckets (25–34 and adjacent) reflecting limited scope for modest upticks tied to routine observances or external developments.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Khamenei # posts 2026年8月25日至9月1日？
Khamenei # posts 2026年8月25日至9月1日？
<5 73%
25-29 60%
30-34 60%
20-24 52%
最新
最新
2026-09-01
<5
65%
5-9
25%
10-14
21%
15-19
28%
20-24
52%
25-29
60%
30-34
60%
35-39
1%
40-44
1%
45-49
1%
50-54
1%
55-59
1%
60+
1%
<5 73%
25-29 60%
30-34 60%
20-24 52%
最新
最新
2026-09-01
<5
$1 交易量
65%
5-9
$0 交易量
25%
10-14
$0 交易量
21%
15-19
$44 交易量
28%
20-24
$44 交易量
52%
25-29
$44 交易量
60%
30-34
$44 交易量
60%
35-39
$25 交易量
1%
40-44
$25 交易量
1%
45-49
$25 交易量
1%
50-54
$25 交易量
1%
55-59
$25 交易量
1%
60+
$45 交易量
1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between August 25, 12:00 PM ET and September 1, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.The @khamenei_ir account, now operated in the name of the late Supreme Leader, maintains a deliberate low-volume cadence focused on archival quotes, religious themes, commemorative images, and occasional geopolitical messaging. Recent posts in mid-August 2026 appeared roughly every few days without acceleration, consistent with patterns observed across multiple prior weeks and similar prediction markets. No major scheduled events, leadership announcements, or confirmed escalations in the Iran-Israel-US conflict fall precisely within August 25–September 1 that would prompt a sustained increase. Traders therefore assign the highest implied probability to fewer than five posts, with mid-range buckets (25–34 and adjacent) reflecting limited scope for modest upticks tied to routine observances or external developments.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between August 25, 12:00 PM ET and September 1, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
市场开放时间： Aug 22, 2026, 12:00 AM ET
交易量
$347结束日期
2026-09-01市场开放时间
Aug 22, 2026, 12:00 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between August 25, 12:00 PM ET and September 1, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.The @khamenei_ir account, now operated in the name of the late Supreme Leader, maintains a deliberate low-volume cadence focused on archival quotes, religious themes, commemorative images, and occasional geopolitical messaging. Recent posts in mid-August 2026 appeared roughly every few days without acceleration, consistent with patterns observed across multiple prior weeks and similar prediction markets. No major scheduled events, leadership announcements, or confirmed escalations in the Iran-Israel-US conflict fall precisely within August 25–September 1 that would prompt a sustained increase. Traders therefore assign the highest implied probability to fewer than five posts, with mid-range buckets (25–34 and adjacent) reflecting limited scope for modest upticks tied to routine observances or external developments.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between August 25, 12:00 PM ET and September 1, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
交易量
$347结束日期
2026-09-01市场开放时间
Aug 22, 2026, 12:00 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The @khamenei_ir account, now operated in the name of the late Supreme Leader, maintains a deliberate low-volume cadence focused on archival quotes, religious themes, commemorative images, and occasional geopolitical messaging. Recent posts in mid-August 2026 appeared roughly every few days without acceleration, consistent with patterns observed across multiple prior weeks and similar prediction markets. No major scheduled events, leadership announcements, or confirmed escalations in the Iran-Israel-US conflict fall precisely within August 25–September 1 that would prompt a sustained increase. Traders therefore assign the highest implied probability to fewer than five posts, with mid-range buckets (25–34 and adjacent) reflecting limited scope for modest upticks tied to routine observances or external developments.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题