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icon for Khamenei # posts 2026年8月28日至9月4日?

Khamenei # posts 2026年8月28日至9月4日?

icon for Khamenei # posts 2026年8月28日至9月4日?

Khamenei # posts 2026年8月28日至9月4日?

<5 87.2%

5-9 12%

10-14 1.1%

15-19 <1%

Polymarket
最新

<5 87.2%

5-9 12%

10-14 1.1%

15-19 <1%

Polymarket
最新

<5

$3,096 交易量

87%

5-9

$693 交易量

12%

10-14

$369 交易量

1%

15-19

$288 交易量

1%

20-24

$260 交易量

1%

25-29

$280 交易量

1%

30-34

$264 交易量

1%

35-39

$278 交易量

1%

40-44

$245 交易量

<1%

45-49

$171 交易量

<1%

50-54

$254 交易量

1%

55-59

$271 交易量

1%

60+

$159 交易量

<1%

This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between August 28, 12:00 PM ET and September 4, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Iran’s Supreme Leader Mojtaba Khamenei maintains a deliberately low public profile and communicates primarily through occasional written statements distributed via official channels rather than frequent direct X activity on the monitored @khamenei_ir account. Historical posting data for the account shows a baseline rate below one post per day on average, with activity on fewer than one-quarter of days in recent periods, reflecting institutional preference for measured, event-driven messaging. No major diplomatic summits, military escalations, domestic policy votes, or crisis deadlines fall within the August 28–September 4 window that would typically trigger additional official output. Recent unity-themed statements tied to Islamic Unity Week and Government Week appeared mainly on Telegram and related platforms, without evidence of a sustained increase in X volume from the tracked handle. Trader pricing for under five posts therefore tracks this consistent pattern of restrained social media engagement by Iran’s supreme leadership.

This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between August 28, 12:00 PM ET and September 4, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
交易量
$6,629
结束日期
2026-09-04
市场开放时间
Aug 25, 2026, 12:00 AM ET
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between August 28, 12:00 PM ET and September 4, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between August 28, 12:00 PM ET and September 4, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Iran’s Supreme Leader Mojtaba Khamenei maintains a deliberately low public profile and communicates primarily through occasional written statements distributed via official channels rather than frequent direct X activity on the monitored @khamenei_ir account. Historical posting data for the account shows a baseline rate below one post per day on average, with activity on fewer than one-quarter of days in recent periods, reflecting institutional preference for measured, event-driven messaging. No major diplomatic summits, military escalations, domestic policy votes, or crisis deadlines fall within the August 28–September 4 window that would typically trigger additional official output. Recent unity-themed statements tied to Islamic Unity Week and Government Week appeared mainly on Telegram and related platforms, without evidence of a sustained increase in X volume from the tracked handle. Trader pricing for under five posts therefore tracks this consistent pattern of restrained social media engagement by Iran’s supreme leadership.

This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between August 28, 12:00 PM ET and September 4, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
交易量
$6,629
结束日期
2026-09-04
市场开放时间
Aug 25, 2026, 12:00 AM ET
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between August 28, 12:00 PM ET and September 4, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

警惕外部链接哦。

常见问题

"Khamenei # posts 2026年8月28日至9月4日?"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 13 个可能结果的预测市场,交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"<5",概率为 87%,其次是"5-9",概率为 12%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如,价格为 87¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 87%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

"Khamenei # posts 2026年8月28日至9月4日?"是 Polymarket 上新创建的市场,于Aug 25, 2026上线。作为一个新市场,这是你率先设定赔率并建立初始价格信号的机会。你也可以将本页加入书签,以便跟踪交易量和活动。

要在"Khamenei # posts 2026年8月28日至9月4日?"上交易,浏览本页上列出的 13 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓,选择你认为最可能的结果,选择"是"支持或"否"反对,输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确,你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确,支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"Khamenei # posts 2026年8月28日至9月4日?"的当前领先者是"<5",概率为 87%,意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 87%。紧随其后的结果是"5-9",概率为 12%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"Khamenei # posts 2026年8月28日至9月4日?"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则,因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。