The reported martyrdom of Ayatollah Ali Khamenei in February 2026 has led his official X account to function primarily as an archival platform for reposting prior statements, with activity limited to occasional historical content amid regional tensions. This pattern, compounded by reported injuries to successor Mojtaba Khamenei and conflicting health updates, has produced only minimal verified output since early May, aligning with the 94% trader consensus on fewer than five posts for the May 12–19 period. The account's bio now explicitly references the martyred leader, further signaling reduced new material. A sudden diplomatic escalation, major policy announcement from Iranian institutions, or shift in successor communications could still increase frequency before the May 19 resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Khamenei # posts May 12 - May 19, 2026?
Khamenei # posts May 12 - May 19, 2026?
<5 94%
5-9 2.4%
15-19 1.6%
20-24 1.0%
$12,057 交易量
$12,057 交易量
2026-05-19
<5
94%
5-9
2%
10-14
1%
15-19
2%
20-24
1%
25-29
<1%
30-34
1%
35-39
<1%
40-44
<1%
45-49
<1%
50-54
<1%
55-59
<1%
60+
<1%
<5 94%
5-9 2.4%
15-19 1.6%
20-24 1.0%
$12,057 交易量
$12,057 交易量
2026-05-19
<5
$2,401 交易量
94%
5-9
$2,064 交易量
2%
10-14
$984 交易量
1%
15-19
$1,493 交易量
2%
20-24
$946 交易量
1%
25-29
$405 交易量
<1%
30-34
$458 交易量
1%
35-39
$448 交易量
<1%
40-44
$596 交易量
<1%
45-49
$484 交易量
<1%
50-54
$503 交易量
<1%
55-59
$609 交易量
<1%
60+
$666 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between May 12, 12:00 PM ET and May 19, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.The reported martyrdom of Ayatollah Ali Khamenei in February 2026 has led his official X account to function primarily as an archival platform for reposting prior statements, with activity limited to occasional historical content amid regional tensions. This pattern, compounded by reported injuries to successor Mojtaba Khamenei and conflicting health updates, has produced only minimal verified output since early May, aligning with the 94% trader consensus on fewer than five posts for the May 12–19 period. The account's bio now explicitly references the martyred leader, further signaling reduced new material. A sudden diplomatic escalation, major policy announcement from Iranian institutions, or shift in successor communications could still increase frequency before the May 19 resolution.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between May 12, 12:00 PM ET and May 19, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
市场开放时间： May 9, 2026, 3:07 AM ET
交易量
$12,057结束日期
2026-05-19市场开放时间
May 9, 2026, 3:07 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between May 12, 12:00 PM ET and May 19, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.The reported martyrdom of Ayatollah Ali Khamenei in February 2026 has led his official X account to function primarily as an archival platform for reposting prior statements, with activity limited to occasional historical content amid regional tensions. This pattern, compounded by reported injuries to successor Mojtaba Khamenei and conflicting health updates, has produced only minimal verified output since early May, aligning with the 94% trader consensus on fewer than five posts for the May 12–19 period. The account's bio now explicitly references the martyred leader, further signaling reduced new material. A sudden diplomatic escalation, major policy announcement from Iranian institutions, or shift in successor communications could still increase frequency before the May 19 resolution.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between May 12, 12:00 PM ET and May 19, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
交易量
$12,057结束日期
2026-05-19市场开放时间
May 9, 2026, 3:07 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The reported martyrdom of Ayatollah Ali Khamenei in February 2026 has led his official X account to function primarily as an archival platform for reposting prior statements, with activity limited to occasional historical content amid regional tensions. This pattern, compounded by reported injuries to successor Mojtaba Khamenei and conflicting health updates, has produced only minimal verified output since early May, aligning with the 94% trader consensus on fewer than five posts for the May 12–19 period. The account's bio now explicitly references the martyred leader, further signaling reduced new material. A sudden diplomatic escalation, major policy announcement from Iranian institutions, or shift in successor communications could still increase frequency before the May 19 resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题