Ayatollah Khamenei's social media activity on X continues to reflect a measured pace of official statements, with his verified account posting only sparingly in recent weeks absent acute diplomatic or regional triggers. This pattern underpins trader consensus favoring the lowest outcome brackets, as historical data shows infrequent updates outside major policy addresses or responses to international developments. The tight spread between sub-5 and 5-9 ranges highlights uncertainty over whether routine weekly messaging or any unforeseen events in the resolution window will add volume. Potential catalysts such as upcoming multilateral meetings, shifts in Iran’s foreign policy stance, or direct commentary on ongoing conflicts could increase post frequency and widen the gap among higher bins.