Latest numerical weather prediction ensembles from global models show Beijing's overnight minimum on September 13 centered in the 15–18 °C range under clear skies, light northerly flow, and dry air that favors radiative cooling after a daytime high near 29–30 °C. This places the greatest market-implied probability on the 21 °C-or-higher bin while still assigning meaningful weight to single-digit teens, reflecting residual spread among model runs and typical early-autumn variability. No significant frontal systems or moisture advection are expected to alter the pattern before the minimum is recorded, keeping the outcome sensitive to small forecast adjustments in boundary-layer wind and cloud cover through the night.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月13日北京最低气温？
9月13日北京最低气温？
11°C或以下 92%
21°C或更高 84%
12°C 40%
13°C 40%
最新
最新
2026-09-13
11°C或以下
92%
12°C
40%
13°C
40%
14°C
22%
15°C
29%
16°C
29%
17°C
22%
18°C
24%
19°C
40%
20°C
40%
21°C或更高
84%
11°C或以下 92%
21°C或更高 84%
12°C 40%
13°C 40%
最新
最新
2026-09-13
11°C或以下
$0 交易量
92%
12°C
$0 交易量
40%
13°C
$0 交易量
40%
14°C
$0 交易量
22%
15°C
$0 交易量
29%
16°C
$0 交易量
29%
17°C
$0 交易量
22%
18°C
$16 交易量
24%
19°C
$0 交易量
40%
20°C
$0 交易量
40%
21°C或更高
$0 交易量
84%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest numerical weather prediction ensembles from global models show Beijing's overnight minimum on September 13 centered in the 15–18 °C range under clear skies, light northerly flow, and dry air that favors radiative cooling after a daytime high near 29–30 °C. This places the greatest market-implied probability on the 21 °C-or-higher bin while still assigning meaningful weight to single-digit teens, reflecting residual spread among model runs and typical early-autumn variability. No significant frontal systems or moisture advection are expected to alter the pattern before the minimum is recorded, keeping the outcome sensitive to small forecast adjustments in boundary-layer wind and cloud cover through the night.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 11, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
交易量
$16结束日期
2026-09-13市场开放时间
Sep 11, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest numerical weather prediction ensembles from global models show Beijing's overnight minimum on September 13 centered in the 15–18 °C range under clear skies, light northerly flow, and dry air that favors radiative cooling after a daytime high near 29–30 °C. This places the greatest market-implied probability on the 21 °C-or-higher bin while still assigning meaningful weight to single-digit teens, reflecting residual spread among model runs and typical early-autumn variability. No significant frontal systems or moisture advection are expected to alter the pattern before the minimum is recorded, keeping the outcome sensitive to small forecast adjustments in boundary-layer wind and cloud cover through the night.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$16结束日期
2026-09-13市场开放时间
Sep 11, 2026, 12:30 AM ETLatest numerical weather prediction ensembles from global models show Beijing's overnight minimum on September 13 centered in the 15–18 °C range under clear skies, light northerly flow, and dry air that favors radiative cooling after a daytime high near 29–30 °C. This places the greatest market-implied probability on the 21 °C-or-higher bin while still assigning meaningful weight to single-digit teens, reflecting residual spread among model runs and typical early-autumn variability. No significant frontal systems or moisture advection are expected to alter the pattern before the minimum is recorded, keeping the outcome sensitive to small forecast adjustments in boundary-layer wind and cloud cover through the night.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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