Hong Kong's subtropical summer climate, driven by the East Asian monsoon and persistent warm, humid air masses, supports a minimum temperature of 28°C on August 19 as the strong market consensus at 91% implied probability. Official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and seasonal outlooks indicate normal to above-normal temperatures, with daily lows typically 27–28°C amid high humidity and scattered showers that limit overnight radiative cooling. Urban heat retention in the densely built environment further stabilizes these readings against historical August baselines. A realistic challenge would require an atypical influx of cooler maritime air or prolonged heavy rainfall enhancing evaporative cooling, though current model consensus and the absence of approaching weather systems make such shifts unlikely before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月19日香港最低气温？
8月19日香港最低气温？
28°C 92%
27°C 6%
26°C 1.3%
24°C <1%
$32,191 交易量
$32,191 交易量
2026-08-19
22°C或以下
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
1%
26°C
1%
27°C
6%
28°C
92%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C或更高
<1%
28°C 92%
27°C 6%
26°C 1.3%
24°C <1%
$32,191 交易量
$32,191 交易量
2026-08-19
22°C或以下
$236 交易量
<1%
23°C
$2,472 交易量
<1%
24°C
$4,164 交易量
1%
25°C
$3,169 交易量
1%
26°C
$4,365 交易量
1%
27°C
$3,290 交易量
6%
28°C
$7,530 交易量
92%
29°C
$3,322 交易量
<1%
30°C
$1,726 交易量
<1%
31°C
$695 交易量
<1%
32°C或更高
$1,222 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Hong Kong's subtropical summer climate, driven by the East Asian monsoon and persistent warm, humid air masses, supports a minimum temperature of 28°C on August 19 as the strong market consensus at 91% implied probability. Official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and seasonal outlooks indicate normal to above-normal temperatures, with daily lows typically 27–28°C amid high humidity and scattered showers that limit overnight radiative cooling. Urban heat retention in the densely built environment further stabilizes these readings against historical August baselines. A realistic challenge would require an atypical influx of cooler maritime air or prolonged heavy rainfall enhancing evaporative cooling, though current model consensus and the absence of approaching weather systems make such shifts unlikely before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Aug 17, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
交易量
$32,191结束日期
2026-08-19市场开放时间
Aug 17, 2026, 12:28 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Hong Kong's subtropical summer climate, driven by the East Asian monsoon and persistent warm, humid air masses, supports a minimum temperature of 28°C on August 19 as the strong market consensus at 91% implied probability. Official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and seasonal outlooks indicate normal to above-normal temperatures, with daily lows typically 27–28°C amid high humidity and scattered showers that limit overnight radiative cooling. Urban heat retention in the densely built environment further stabilizes these readings against historical August baselines. A realistic challenge would require an atypical influx of cooler maritime air or prolonged heavy rainfall enhancing evaporative cooling, though current model consensus and the absence of approaching weather systems make such shifts unlikely before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$32,191结束日期
2026-08-19市场开放时间
Aug 17, 2026, 12:28 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Hong Kong's subtropical summer climate, driven by the East Asian monsoon and persistent warm, humid air masses, supports a minimum temperature of 28°C on August 19 as the strong market consensus at 91% implied probability. Official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and seasonal outlooks indicate normal to above-normal temperatures, with daily lows typically 27–28°C amid high humidity and scattered showers that limit overnight radiative cooling. Urban heat retention in the densely built environment further stabilizes these readings against historical August baselines. A realistic challenge would require an atypical influx of cooler maritime air or prolonged heavy rainfall enhancing evaporative cooling, though current model consensus and the absence of approaching weather systems make such shifts unlikely before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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