Recent Met Office and ECMWF ensemble forecasts have converged on an overnight minimum of 9–11°C for London on May 17, with the market assigning a 96.8% implied probability to exactly 10°C. A mild southwesterly Atlantic airflow under variable cloud cover suppressed radiative cooling and kept temperatures well above typical spring nocturnal lows. Official station data from London City Airport are expected to confirm this range once fully processed. Clearer skies or a sudden wind shift could allow a brief dip toward 8°C, but current model consensus and observational trends make that scenario unlikely before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于5月17日伦敦最低气温?
10°C 96.0%
6°C <1%
2°C或以下 <1%
8°C <1%
$15,088 交易量
$15,088 交易量
2°C或以下
1%
3°C
-
4°C
50%
5°C
-
6°C
1%
7°C
-
8°C
<1%
9°C
48%
10°C
96%
11°C
<1%
12°C或更高
-
10°C 96.0%
6°C <1%
2°C或以下 <1%
8°C <1%
$15,088 交易量
$15,088 交易量
2°C或以下
1%
3°C
-
4°C
50%
5°C
-
6°C
1%
7°C
-
8°C
<1%
9°C
48%
10°C
96%
11°C
<1%
12°C或更高
-
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间: May 13, 2026, 12:30 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Recent Met Office and ECMWF ensemble forecasts have converged on an overnight minimum of 9–11°C for London on May 17, with the market assigning a 96.8% implied probability to exactly 10°C. A mild southwesterly Atlantic airflow under variable cloud cover suppressed radiative cooling and kept temperatures well above typical spring nocturnal lows. Official station data from London City Airport are expected to confirm this range once fully processed. Clearer skies or a sudden wind shift could allow a brief dip toward 8°C, but current model consensus and observational trends make that scenario unlikely before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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