Latest ensemble forecasts from Météo-France and the ECMWF indicate a dominant high-pressure ridge over northern France, supporting overnight radiative cooling that should produce a minimum temperature near 10–11°C at the official Le Bourget reference station on May 22. This aligns closely with mid-May climatological normals of 9–12°C for the Paris basin, where typical surface observations show limited advection of cooler maritime air. Model spread remains narrow, though an unexpected frontal passage or clearer skies could allow slightly stronger cooling and shift the outcome toward 9°C. Traders monitoring these short-range updates will watch the next high-resolution runs and surface observations for any revisions ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Lowest temperature in Paris on May 22?
12°C 27%
15°C 26%
9°C 26%
16°C 25%
9°C
26%
12°C
27%
15°C
26%
16°C
25%
12°C 27%
15°C 26%
9°C 26%
16°C 25%
9°C
26%
12°C
27%
15°C
26%
16°C
25%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间: May 18, 2026, 12:42 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Latest ensemble forecasts from Météo-France and the ECMWF indicate a dominant high-pressure ridge over northern France, supporting overnight radiative cooling that should produce a minimum temperature near 10–11°C at the official Le Bourget reference station on May 22. This aligns closely with mid-May climatological normals of 9–12°C for the Paris basin, where typical surface observations show limited advection of cooler maritime air. Model spread remains narrow, though an unexpected frontal passage or clearer skies could allow slightly stronger cooling and shift the outcome toward 9°C. Traders monitoring these short-range updates will watch the next high-resolution runs and surface observations for any revisions ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题