Recent forecasts from Taiwan's Central Weather Bureau and international models indicate a typical late-summer subtropical pattern for Taipei, with daytime highs near 32–34°C and overnight minima likely between 25–27°C amid high humidity and scattered afternoon thunderstorms. These convective systems, driven by sea-breeze convergence into the basin and urban heat-island effects, introduce the main uncertainty: variable cloud cover and rainfall timing can alter radiative cooling rates overnight. Trader consensus clusters tightly around 25–28°C outcomes because ensemble guidance shows only modest differences in boundary-layer moisture and wind, with no major synoptic shifts expected before August 29 resolution. Updated model runs and official briefings will likely refine these probabilities in the final hours.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月29日台北气温最低?
30°C 49%
27°C 34%
28°C 27%
25°C 26%
22°C or below
8%
23°C
14%
24°C
24%
25°C
26%
26°C
26%
27°C
34%
28°C
27%
29°C
25%
30°C
49%
31°C
2%
32°C or higher
12%
30°C 49%
27°C 34%
28°C 27%
25°C 26%
22°C or below
8%
23°C
14%
24°C
24%
25°C
26%
26°C
26%
27°C
34%
28°C
27%
29°C
25%
30°C
49%
31°C
2%
32°C or higher
12%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Aug 27, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecasts from Taiwan's Central Weather Bureau and international models indicate a typical late-summer subtropical pattern for Taipei, with daytime highs near 32–34°C and overnight minima likely between 25–27°C amid high humidity and scattered afternoon thunderstorms. These convective systems, driven by sea-breeze convergence into the basin and urban heat-island effects, introduce the main uncertainty: variable cloud cover and rainfall timing can alter radiative cooling rates overnight. Trader consensus clusters tightly around 25–28°C outcomes because ensemble guidance shows only modest differences in boundary-layer moisture and wind, with no major synoptic shifts expected before August 29 resolution. Updated model runs and official briefings will likely refine these probabilities in the final hours.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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