Incoming cooler northerly winds and a shift from humid southerly flow are driving forecast lows near 19–20 °C for Tokyo on September 10, aligning with the market’s leading 49.5 % probability on 20 °C and 34.5 % on 19 °C. Recent model runs and Japan Meteorological Agency guidance show overnight minima of 18–20 °C under increasing cloud cover and scattered showers that limit radiative cooling, while urban heat-island effects and dew-point trends support the tight clustering around these values. Earlier September lows near 22 °C have given way to this cooler air mass, with limited model spread keeping higher or lower outcomes below 10 % probability. Updated regional forecasts and any late wind shifts remain the key near-term catalysts.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月10日东京最低气温？
9月10日东京最低气温？
20°C 50%
19°C 32%
21°C 18%
18°C 8%
最新
最新
2026-09-10
14°C或以下
<1%
15°C
2%
16°C
4%
17°C
2%
18°C
8%
19°C
32%
20°C
50%
21°C
15%
22°C
5%
23°C
2%
24°C或更高
<1%
20°C 50%
19°C 32%
21°C 18%
18°C 8%
最新
最新
2026-09-10
14°C或以下
$94 交易量
<1%
15°C
$264 交易量
2%
16°C
$306 交易量
4%
17°C
$320 交易量
2%
18°C
$435 交易量
8%
19°C
$1,440 交易量
32%
20°C
$1,001 交易量
50%
21°C
$534 交易量
15%
22°C
$266 交易量
5%
23°C
$240 交易量
2%
24°C或更高
$166 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Incoming cooler northerly winds and a shift from humid southerly flow are driving forecast lows near 19–20 °C for Tokyo on September 10, aligning with the market’s leading 49.5 % probability on 20 °C and 34.5 % on 19 °C. Recent model runs and Japan Meteorological Agency guidance show overnight minima of 18–20 °C under increasing cloud cover and scattered showers that limit radiative cooling, while urban heat-island effects and dew-point trends support the tight clustering around these values. Earlier September lows near 22 °C have given way to this cooler air mass, with limited model spread keeping higher or lower outcomes below 10 % probability. Updated regional forecasts and any late wind shifts remain the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 8, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
交易量
$5,068结束日期
2026-09-10市场开放时间
Sep 8, 2026, 12:29 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Incoming cooler northerly winds and a shift from humid southerly flow are driving forecast lows near 19–20 °C for Tokyo on September 10, aligning with the market’s leading 49.5 % probability on 20 °C and 34.5 % on 19 °C. Recent model runs and Japan Meteorological Agency guidance show overnight minima of 18–20 °C under increasing cloud cover and scattered showers that limit radiative cooling, while urban heat-island effects and dew-point trends support the tight clustering around these values. Earlier September lows near 22 °C have given way to this cooler air mass, with limited model spread keeping higher or lower outcomes below 10 % probability. Updated regional forecasts and any late wind shifts remain the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$5,068结束日期
2026-09-10市场开放时间
Sep 8, 2026, 12:29 AM ETIncoming cooler northerly winds and a shift from humid southerly flow are driving forecast lows near 19–20 °C for Tokyo on September 10, aligning with the market’s leading 49.5 % probability on 20 °C and 34.5 % on 19 °C. Recent model runs and Japan Meteorological Agency guidance show overnight minima of 18–20 °C under increasing cloud cover and scattered showers that limit radiative cooling, while urban heat-island effects and dew-point trends support the tight clustering around these values. Earlier September lows near 22 °C have given way to this cooler air mass, with limited model spread keeping higher or lower outcomes below 10 % probability. Updated regional forecasts and any late wind shifts remain the key near-term catalysts.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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