Recent forecast consensus from models and agencies points to overnight lows in Tokyo on September 15 clustering near 22–23°C amid widespread thunderstorms, high humidity above 85%, and southwesterly winds that limit radiational cooling. Cloud cover and scattered showers through the night suppress temperature drops compared to clearer conditions, while recent days’ rainfall has kept soil moisture elevated. Market-implied odds reflect this narrow range, with 23°C edging ahead due to ensemble guidance favoring that exact threshold over slightly cooler or warmer outcomes. Traders monitor updated JMA and global model runs for any shifts in precipitation timing or wind strength before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月15日东京最低气温？
9月15日东京最低气温？
23°C 39%
22°C 31%
24°C 23%
25°C 8%
最新
最新
2026-09-15
19°C或以下
2%
20°C
6%
21℃
6%
22°C
31%
23°C
39%
24°C
23%
25°C
8%
26°C
2%
27°C
2%
28°C
1%
29°C或更高
1%
23°C 39%
22°C 31%
24°C 23%
25°C 8%
最新
最新
2026-09-15
19°C或以下
$10 交易量
2%
20°C
$30 交易量
6%
21℃
$31 交易量
6%
22°C
$251 交易量
31%
23°C
$125 交易量
39%
24°C
$333 交易量
23%
25°C
$31 交易量
8%
26°C
$10 交易量
2%
27°C
$10 交易量
2%
28°C
$10 交易量
1%
29°C或更高
$10 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast consensus from models and agencies points to overnight lows in Tokyo on September 15 clustering near 22–23°C amid widespread thunderstorms, high humidity above 85%, and southwesterly winds that limit radiational cooling. Cloud cover and scattered showers through the night suppress temperature drops compared to clearer conditions, while recent days’ rainfall has kept soil moisture elevated. Market-implied odds reflect this narrow range, with 23°C edging ahead due to ensemble guidance favoring that exact threshold over slightly cooler or warmer outcomes. Traders monitor updated JMA and global model runs for any shifts in precipitation timing or wind strength before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 13, 2026, 1:30 PM ET
交易量
$852结束日期
2026-09-15市场开放时间
Sep 13, 2026, 1:30 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast consensus from models and agencies points to overnight lows in Tokyo on September 15 clustering near 22–23°C amid widespread thunderstorms, high humidity above 85%, and southwesterly winds that limit radiational cooling. Cloud cover and scattered showers through the night suppress temperature drops compared to clearer conditions, while recent days’ rainfall has kept soil moisture elevated. Market-implied odds reflect this narrow range, with 23°C edging ahead due to ensemble guidance favoring that exact threshold over slightly cooler or warmer outcomes. Traders monitor updated JMA and global model runs for any shifts in precipitation timing or wind strength before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$852结束日期
2026-09-15市场开放时间
Sep 13, 2026, 1:30 PM ETRecent forecast consensus from models and agencies points to overnight lows in Tokyo on September 15 clustering near 22–23°C amid widespread thunderstorms, high humidity above 85%, and southwesterly winds that limit radiational cooling. Cloud cover and scattered showers through the night suppress temperature drops compared to clearer conditions, while recent days’ rainfall has kept soil moisture elevated. Market-implied odds reflect this narrow range, with 23°C edging ahead due to ensemble guidance favoring that exact threshold over slightly cooler or warmer outcomes. Traders monitor updated JMA and global model runs for any shifts in precipitation timing or wind strength before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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