Persistent cloud cover, light rain, and northerly winds across Zhengzhou have held minimum temperatures near 21°C on September 20, according to multiple forecast models and surface observations. Overcast conditions limit radiative cooling overnight, while high humidity near 80-90% and light winds around 4-7 km/h further stabilize the boundary layer. This aligns with current readings in the low 20s°C and consensus lows of 20-21°C from regional guidance. Trader positioning at 100% implied probability for 21°C reflects these stable atmospheric conditions and proximity to daily resolution. A rapid clearing of skies or shift to drier air could allow greater nocturnal cooling and push the minimum to 20°C, though such changes appear unlikely in the final hours.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月20日郑州最低气温?
21°C 99.5%
19°C 94%
15°C或以下 1.0%
16°C 1.0%
$618 交易量
$618 交易量
15°C或以下
否
16°C
否
17°C
否
18°C
否
19°C
否
20°C
否
21°C
是
22°C
否
23°C
否
24°C
否
25°C或更高
否
21°C 99.5%
19°C 94%
15°C或以下 1.0%
16°C 1.0%
$618 交易量
$618 交易量
15°C或以下
否
16°C
否
17°C
否
18°C
否
19°C
否
20°C
否
21°C
是
22°C
否
23°C
否
24°C
否
25°C或更高
否
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Sep 19, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
Persistent cloud cover, light rain, and northerly winds across Zhengzhou have held minimum temperatures near 21°C on September 20, according to multiple forecast models and surface observations. Overcast conditions limit radiative cooling overnight, while high humidity near 80-90% and light winds around 4-7 km/h further stabilize the boundary layer. This aligns with current readings in the low 20s°C and consensus lows of 20-21°C from regional guidance. Trader positioning at 100% implied probability for 21°C reflects these stable atmospheric conditions and proximity to daily resolution. A rapid clearing of skies or shift to drier air could allow greater nocturnal cooling and push the minimum to 20°C, though such changes appear unlikely in the final hours.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于

警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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