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Measles cases in U.S. by May 31?

icon for Measles cases in U.S. by May 31?

Measles cases in U.S. by May 31?

5月 31

12月 31

5月 31

12月 31

$69,809 交易量

2026-05-31
Polymarket

$69,809 交易量

Polymarket

1900

$29,849 交易量

99%

1925

$5,462 交易量

96%

1950

$11,844 交易量

69%

2000

$14,274 交易量

14%

2200

$2,644 交易量

2%

2400

$955 交易量

1%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if there have been the specified amount or more confirmed cases of Measles (Rubeola) in humans in the territory of the United States of America in 2026, according to the CDC case counter by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be the CDC Measles (Rubeola) counter 'Total Cases' in 2026 (see: https://www.cdc.gov/measles/data-research/index.html) at the resolution time. If the counter becomes unavailable, another credible source will be used. Note: Only cases reported by the CDC Measles (Rubeola) counter will qualify, regardless of reports from U.S. State agencies or other sources.Ongoing multi-state measles transmission, fueled by low vaccination coverage in certain communities and repeated importations via international travel, continues to drive rapid case growth and trader expectations for exceeding 1,900 confirmed U.S. cases by May 31. As of May 7, the CDC reported 1,842 cases in 2026, with 93 percent outbreak-associated across 25 new clusters and 36 states; roughly 92 percent of patients were unvaccinated or had unknown status. Weekly increments have slowed modestly from earlier peaks yet remain in the dozens, reflecting persistent community spread ahead of peak summer travel. Upcoming CDC weekly updates through late May, combined with any new laboratory confirmations, will directly influence final counts against historical baselines of 285 cases in 2024 and 2,288 for all of 2025.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if there have been the specified amount or more confirmed cases of Measles (Rubeola) in humans in the territory of the United States of America in 2026, according to the CDC case counter by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be the CDC Measles (Rubeola) counter 'Total Cases' in 2026 (see: https://www.cdc.gov/measles/data-research/index.html) at the resolution time. If the counter becomes unavailable, another credible source will be used.

Note: Only cases reported by the CDC Measles (Rubeola) counter will qualify, regardless of reports from U.S. State agencies or other sources.
交易量
$69,809
结束日期
2026-05-31
市场开放时间
Apr 29, 2026, 11:18 AM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there have been the specified amount or more confirmed cases of Measles (Rubeola) in humans in the territory of the United States of America in 2026, according to the CDC case counter by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be the CDC Measles (Rubeola) counter 'Total Cases' in 2026 (see: https://www.cdc.gov/measles/data-research/index.html) at the resolution time. If the counter becomes unavailable, another credible source will be used. Note: Only cases reported by the CDC Measles (Rubeola) counter will qualify, regardless of reports from U.S. State agencies or other sources.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there have been the specified amount or more confirmed cases of Measles (Rubeola) in humans in the territory of the United States of America in 2026, according to the CDC case counter by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be the CDC Measles (Rubeola) counter 'Total Cases' in 2026 (see: https://www.cdc.gov/measles/data-research/index.html) at the resolution time. If the counter becomes unavailable, another credible source will be used. Note: Only cases reported by the CDC Measles (Rubeola) counter will qualify, regardless of reports from U.S. State agencies or other sources.Ongoing multi-state measles transmission, fueled by low vaccination coverage in certain communities and repeated importations via international travel, continues to drive rapid case growth and trader expectations for exceeding 1,900 confirmed U.S. cases by May 31. As of May 7, the CDC reported 1,842 cases in 2026, with 93 percent outbreak-associated across 25 new clusters and 36 states; roughly 92 percent of patients were unvaccinated or had unknown status. Weekly increments have slowed modestly from earlier peaks yet remain in the dozens, reflecting persistent community spread ahead of peak summer travel. Upcoming CDC weekly updates through late May, combined with any new laboratory confirmations, will directly influence final counts against historical baselines of 285 cases in 2024 and 2,288 for all of 2025.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if there have been the specified amount or more confirmed cases of Measles (Rubeola) in humans in the territory of the United States of America in 2026, according to the CDC case counter by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be the CDC Measles (Rubeola) counter 'Total Cases' in 2026 (see: https://www.cdc.gov/measles/data-research/index.html) at the resolution time. If the counter becomes unavailable, another credible source will be used.

Note: Only cases reported by the CDC Measles (Rubeola) counter will qualify, regardless of reports from U.S. State agencies or other sources.
交易量
$69,809
结束日期
2026-05-31
市场开放时间
Apr 29, 2026, 11:18 AM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there have been the specified amount or more confirmed cases of Measles (Rubeola) in humans in the territory of the United States of America in 2026, according to the CDC case counter by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be the CDC Measles (Rubeola) counter 'Total Cases' in 2026 (see: https://www.cdc.gov/measles/data-research/index.html) at the resolution time. If the counter becomes unavailable, another credible source will be used. Note: Only cases reported by the CDC Measles (Rubeola) counter will qualify, regardless of reports from U.S. State agencies or other sources.

警惕外部链接哦。

常见问题

"Measles cases in U.S. by May 31?"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 7 个可能结果的预测市场，交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"1800"，概率为 100%，其次是"1900"，概率为 99%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如，价格为 100¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 100%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

截至目前，"Measles cases in U.S. by May 31?"已产生 $69.8K 的总交易量（自Apr 27, 2026市场上线以来）。这一活跃度反映了 Polymarket 社区的高度参与，并确保当前赔率由广泛的市场参与者共同形成。你可以直接在本页追踪实时价格变动并交易任何结果。

要在"Measles cases in U.S. by May 31?"上交易，浏览本页上列出的 7 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓，选择你认为最可能的结果，选择"是"支持或"否"反对，输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确，你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确，支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"Measles cases in U.S. by May 31?"的当前领先者是"1800"，概率为 100%，意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 100%。紧随其后的结果是"1900"，概率为 99%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"Measles cases in U.S. by May 31?"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则，因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。