Labour's catastrophic losses in the May 2026 local elections, forfeiting over 1,400 council seats to Reform UK and Greens, have ignited a fierce leadership revolt against Prime Minister Keir Starmer, with more than 50 MPs demanding his resignation and several ministers quitting. Trader consensus reflects this turmoil, pricing "No Next PM in 2026" at 23.5% amid Starmer's defiant cabinet stand and today's King's Speech outlining economic and energy security priorities. Andy Burnham leads narrowly at 23.2% on Greater Manchester popularity despite lacking a parliamentary seat, edging Ed Miliband (22.9%), favored by party members, and Wes Streeting (13.0%), a rising cabinet figure. The race stays tight without the 81 Labour MPs needed to trigger a formal contest; separation could follow a by-election for Burnham, mass resignations, or Starmer's policy agenda faltering further.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于2026年没有下任首相 24%
安迪·伯纳姆 23.3%
埃德·米利班德 22.9%
韦斯·斯特里廷 13%
$6,115,962 交易量
$6,115,962 交易量
2026年没有下任首相
24%
安迪·伯纳姆
23%
埃德·米利班德
23%
韦斯·斯特里廷
13%
安吉拉·雷纳
11%
Al Carns
5%
伊薇特·库珀
2%
沙巴娜·马哈茂德
1%
奈杰尔·法拉奇
1%
露西·鲍威尔
1%
大卫·拉米
<1%
雷切尔·里夫斯
<1%
凯米·巴德诺克
<1%
布里奇特·菲利普森
<1%
达伦·琼斯
<1%
鲍里斯·约翰逊
<1%
埃德·戴维
<1%
鲁珀特·洛伊
<1%
罗伯特·詹里克
<1%
詹姆斯·克莱弗利
<1%
A先生
<1%
2026年没有下任首相 24%
安迪·伯纳姆 23.3%
埃德·米利班德 22.9%
韦斯·斯特里廷 13%
$6,115,962 交易量
$6,115,962 交易量
2026年没有下任首相
24%
安迪·伯纳姆
23%
埃德·米利班德
23%
韦斯·斯特里廷
13%
安吉拉·雷纳
11%
Al Carns
5%
伊薇特·库珀
2%
沙巴娜·马哈茂德
1%
奈杰尔·法拉奇
1%
露西·鲍威尔
1%
大卫·拉米
<1%
雷切尔·里夫斯
<1%
凯米·巴德诺克
<1%
布里奇特·菲利普森
<1%
达伦·琼斯
<1%
鲍里斯·约翰逊
<1%
埃德·戴维
<1%
鲁珀特·洛伊
<1%
罗伯特·詹里克
<1%
詹姆斯·克莱弗利
<1%
A先生
<1%
To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed by the United Kingdom Monarch. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Prime Minister is appointed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Next PM in 2026”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United Kingdom; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间： Feb 5, 2026, 5:48 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed by the United Kingdom Monarch. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Prime Minister is appointed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Next PM in 2026”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United Kingdom; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Labour's catastrophic losses in the May 2026 local elections, forfeiting over 1,400 council seats to Reform UK and Greens, have ignited a fierce leadership revolt against Prime Minister Keir Starmer, with more than 50 MPs demanding his resignation and several ministers quitting. Trader consensus reflects this turmoil, pricing "No Next PM in 2026" at 23.5% amid Starmer's defiant cabinet stand and today's King's Speech outlining economic and energy security priorities. Andy Burnham leads narrowly at 23.2% on Greater Manchester popularity despite lacking a parliamentary seat, edging Ed Miliband (22.9%), favored by party members, and Wes Streeting (13.0%), a rising cabinet figure. The race stays tight without the 81 Labour MPs needed to trigger a formal contest; separation could follow a by-election for Burnham, mass resignations, or Starmer's policy agenda faltering further.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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警惕外部链接哦。
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