Early June 2026 rainfall in Hong Kong has already reached 198.8 mm through the 8th, aligning with the onset of the East Asian monsoon and setting a wet baseline for the month. Trader consensus clusters around 400–425 mm (25.5% implied probability) because climatological normals place June totals near 400–500 mm, yet model spreads and steering patterns for potential tropical cyclones introduce substantial variability in the remaining 20+ days. Higher bins above 500 mm gain support from typhoon landfall risks that can deliver 100–300 mm in single events, while lower outcomes reflect drier steering scenarios or suppressed convective activity. Official Hong Kong Observatory monitoring and ensemble forecasts will drive near-term shifts as new observational data refine intensity and track projections.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Precipitation in Hong Kong in June?
Precipitation in Hong Kong in June?
500mm+ 21%
375-400mm 15%
425-450mm 14%
400-425mm 13%
最新
最新
2026-06-30
<350mm
12%
350-375mm
11%
375-400mm
26%
400-425mm
26%
425-450mm
14%
450-475mm
11%
475-500mm
17%
500mm+
21%
500mm+ 21%
375-400mm 15%
425-450mm 14%
400-425mm 13%
最新
最新
2026-06-30
<350mm
$297 交易量
12%
350-375mm
$132 交易量
11%
375-400mm
$247 交易量
26%
400-425mm
$148 交易量
26%
425-450mm
$167 交易量
14%
450-475mm
$193 交易量
11%
475-500mm
$233 交易量
17%
500mm+
$287 交易量
21%
This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in mm in Hong Kong between June 1 and June 30, 2026, according to the Hong Kong Observatory.
The resolution source for this market will be the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Total Rainfall (mm)" figure for all days in June 2026 under the "Daily Extract" at the https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm link once figures are finalized for the specified range.
If the reported data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the relevant data is not available by September 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Early June 2026 rainfall in Hong Kong has already reached 198.8 mm through the 8th, aligning with the onset of the East Asian monsoon and setting a wet baseline for the month. Trader consensus clusters around 400–425 mm (25.5% implied probability) because climatological normals place June totals near 400–500 mm, yet model spreads and steering patterns for potential tropical cyclones introduce substantial variability in the remaining 20+ days. Higher bins above 500 mm gain support from typhoon landfall risks that can deliver 100–300 mm in single events, while lower outcomes reflect drier steering scenarios or suppressed convective activity. Official Hong Kong Observatory monitoring and ensemble forecasts will drive near-term shifts as new observational data refine intensity and track projections.
This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in mm in Hong Kong between June 1 and June 30, 2026, according to the Hong Kong Observatory.
The resolution source for this market will be the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Total Rainfall (mm)" figure for all days in June 2026 under the "Daily Extract" at the https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm link once figures are finalized for the specified range.
If the reported data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the relevant data is not available by September 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Total Rainfall (mm)" figure for all days in June 2026 under the "Daily Extract" at the https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm link once figures are finalized for the specified range.
If the reported data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the relevant data is not available by September 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： May 27, 2026, 4:07 PM ET
交易量
$1,704结束日期
2026-06-30市场开放时间
May 27, 2026, 4:07 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in mm in Hong Kong between June 1 and June 30, 2026, according to the Hong Kong Observatory.
The resolution source for this market will be the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Total Rainfall (mm)" figure for all days in June 2026 under the "Daily Extract" at the https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm link once figures are finalized for the specified range.
If the reported data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the relevant data is not available by September 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Early June 2026 rainfall in Hong Kong has already reached 198.8 mm through the 8th, aligning with the onset of the East Asian monsoon and setting a wet baseline for the month. Trader consensus clusters around 400–425 mm (25.5% implied probability) because climatological normals place June totals near 400–500 mm, yet model spreads and steering patterns for potential tropical cyclones introduce substantial variability in the remaining 20+ days. Higher bins above 500 mm gain support from typhoon landfall risks that can deliver 100–300 mm in single events, while lower outcomes reflect drier steering scenarios or suppressed convective activity. Official Hong Kong Observatory monitoring and ensemble forecasts will drive near-term shifts as new observational data refine intensity and track projections.
This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in mm in Hong Kong between June 1 and June 30, 2026, according to the Hong Kong Observatory.
The resolution source for this market will be the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Total Rainfall (mm)" figure for all days in June 2026 under the "Daily Extract" at the https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm link once figures are finalized for the specified range.
If the reported data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the relevant data is not available by September 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Total Rainfall (mm)" figure for all days in June 2026 under the "Daily Extract" at the https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm link once figures are finalized for the specified range.
If the reported data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the relevant data is not available by September 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$1,704结束日期
2026-06-30市场开放时间
May 27, 2026, 4:07 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Early June 2026 rainfall in Hong Kong has already reached 198.8 mm through the 8th, aligning with the onset of the East Asian monsoon and setting a wet baseline for the month. Trader consensus clusters around 400–425 mm (25.5% implied probability) because climatological normals place June totals near 400–500 mm, yet model spreads and steering patterns for potential tropical cyclones introduce substantial variability in the remaining 20+ days. Higher bins above 500 mm gain support from typhoon landfall risks that can deliver 100–300 mm in single events, while lower outcomes reflect drier steering scenarios or suppressed convective activity. Official Hong Kong Observatory monitoring and ensemble forecasts will drive near-term shifts as new observational data refine intensity and track projections.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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