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icon for Ruben Rocha在5月31日前出任锡那罗亚州州长?

Ruben Rocha在5月31日前出任锡那罗亚州州长?

icon for Ruben Rocha在5月31日前出任锡那罗亚州州长?

Ruben Rocha在5月31日前出任锡那罗亚州州长?

36% 概率
Polymarket

$421,991 交易量

36% 概率
Polymarket

$421,991 交易量

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Ruben Rocha Moya ceases to be the Governor of Sinaloa for any period of time between market creation and May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Rocha Moya’s resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Ruben Rocha Moya and the governments of Mexico and Sinaloa; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. The US indictment unsealed April 29 charging Governor Rubén Rocha Moya with cartel-related drug trafficking and weapons offenses prompted his May 2 request for a temporary leave of absence, which Sinaloa state lawmakers quickly approved along with the appointment of an interim governor. Mexican federal authorities have declined to detain him or advance extradition proceedings, while Rocha has publicly denied the allegations and stated he will defend himself through domestic institutions. These factors have kept trader consensus on permanent removal by May 31 at a minority position, reflecting the temporary character of the leave, absence of further domestic legal triggers, and historical patterns in which Mexican officials facing foreign indictments often retain or regain office pending prolonged proceedings.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Ruben Rocha Moya ceases to be the Governor of Sinaloa for any period of time between market creation and May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Rocha Moya’s resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Ruben Rocha Moya and the governments of Mexico and Sinaloa; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$421,991
结束日期
2026-05-31
市场开放时间
Apr 30, 2026, 3:13 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Ruben Rocha Moya ceases to be the Governor of Sinaloa for any period of time between market creation and May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Rocha Moya’s resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Ruben Rocha Moya and the governments of Mexico and Sinaloa; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

已提议结果: 是

有争议

结果提议

最终争议

最终

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Ruben Rocha Moya ceases to be the Governor of Sinaloa for any period of time between market creation and May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Rocha Moya’s resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Ruben Rocha Moya and the governments of Mexico and Sinaloa; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. The US indictment unsealed April 29 charging Governor Rubén Rocha Moya with cartel-related drug trafficking and weapons offenses prompted his May 2 request for a temporary leave of absence, which Sinaloa state lawmakers quickly approved along with the appointment of an interim governor. Mexican federal authorities have declined to detain him or advance extradition proceedings, while Rocha has publicly denied the allegations and stated he will defend himself through domestic institutions. These factors have kept trader consensus on permanent removal by May 31 at a minority position, reflecting the temporary character of the leave, absence of further domestic legal triggers, and historical patterns in which Mexican officials facing foreign indictments often retain or regain office pending prolonged proceedings.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Ruben Rocha Moya ceases to be the Governor of Sinaloa for any period of time between market creation and May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Rocha Moya’s resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Ruben Rocha Moya and the governments of Mexico and Sinaloa; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$421,991
结束日期
2026-05-31
市场开放时间
Apr 30, 2026, 3:13 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Ruben Rocha Moya ceases to be the Governor of Sinaloa for any period of time between market creation and May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Rocha Moya’s resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Ruben Rocha Moya and the governments of Mexico and Sinaloa; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

已提议结果: 是

有争议

结果提议

最终争议

最终

警惕外部链接哦。

常见问题

"Ruben Rocha在5月31日前出任锡那罗亚州州长?"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 2 个可能结果的预测市场,交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"Ruben Rocha会在5月31日前卸任锡那罗亚州州长吗?",概率为 36%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如,价格为 36¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 36%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

截至目前,"Ruben Rocha在5月31日前出任锡那罗亚州州长?"已产生 $422K 的总交易量(自Apr 30, 2026市场上线以来)。这一活跃度反映了 Polymarket 社区的高度参与,并确保当前赔率由广泛的市场参与者共同形成。你可以直接在本页追踪实时价格变动并交易任何结果。

要在"Ruben Rocha在5月31日前出任锡那罗亚州州长?"上交易,浏览本页上列出的 2 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓,选择你认为最可能的结果,选择"是"支持或"否"反对,输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确,你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确,支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"Ruben Rocha在5月31日前出任锡那罗亚州州长?"的当前领先者是"Ruben Rocha会在5月31日前卸任锡那罗亚州州长吗?",概率为 36%,意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 36%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"Ruben Rocha在5月31日前出任锡那罗亚州州长?"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则,因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。