Recent U.S.-mediated trilateral talks between Russia, Ukraine, and American officials in Geneva during February 2026 produced limited progress on humanitarian issues and prisoner exchanges, following earlier rounds in Abu Dhabi. Direct bilateral engagement has remained stalled, with Russian Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov stating in April that resuming negotiations is not Moscow’s priority and that any Putin-Zelenskyy summit would occur only to finalize agreements already reached. A U.S.-brokered three-day ceasefire took effect May 9–11 around Russia’s Victory Day commemorations and included a prisoner exchange, though large-scale fighting soon resumed amid Russian advances in Donbas. These developments frame trader assessments of whether a substantive diplomatic meeting will occur by the market’s resolution date, as both sides continue to differ sharply over territorial concessions and security guarantees.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$151,919 交易量
2026-12-31
May 31
2%
June 30
28%
December 31
71%
$151,919 交易量
May 31
$74,018 交易量
2%
June 30
$28,182 交易量
28%
December 31
$49,719 交易量
71%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of Russia and Ukraine by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Russia-Ukraine relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of Russia and Ukraine, and a consensus of credible reporting.Recent U.S.-mediated trilateral talks between Russia, Ukraine, and American officials in Geneva during February 2026 produced limited progress on humanitarian issues and prisoner exchanges, following earlier rounds in Abu Dhabi. Direct bilateral engagement has remained stalled, with Russian Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov stating in April that resuming negotiations is not Moscow’s priority and that any Putin-Zelenskyy summit would occur only to finalize agreements already reached. A U.S.-brokered three-day ceasefire took effect May 9–11 around Russia’s Victory Day commemorations and included a prisoner exchange, though large-scale fighting soon resumed amid Russian advances in Donbas. These developments frame trader assessments of whether a substantive diplomatic meeting will occur by the market’s resolution date, as both sides continue to differ sharply over territorial concessions and security guarantees.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of Russia and Ukraine by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Russia-Ukraine relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of Russia and Ukraine, and a consensus of credible reporting.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Russia-Ukraine relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of Russia and Ukraine, and a consensus of credible reporting.
市场开放时间： May 4, 2026, 3:07 PM ET
交易量
$151,919结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
May 4, 2026, 3:07 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of Russia and Ukraine by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Russia-Ukraine relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of Russia and Ukraine, and a consensus of credible reporting.Recent U.S.-mediated trilateral talks between Russia, Ukraine, and American officials in Geneva during February 2026 produced limited progress on humanitarian issues and prisoner exchanges, following earlier rounds in Abu Dhabi. Direct bilateral engagement has remained stalled, with Russian Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov stating in April that resuming negotiations is not Moscow’s priority and that any Putin-Zelenskyy summit would occur only to finalize agreements already reached. A U.S.-brokered three-day ceasefire took effect May 9–11 around Russia’s Victory Day commemorations and included a prisoner exchange, though large-scale fighting soon resumed amid Russian advances in Donbas. These developments frame trader assessments of whether a substantive diplomatic meeting will occur by the market’s resolution date, as both sides continue to differ sharply over territorial concessions and security guarantees.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of Russia and Ukraine by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Russia-Ukraine relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of Russia and Ukraine, and a consensus of credible reporting.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Russia-Ukraine relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of Russia and Ukraine, and a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$151,919结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
May 4, 2026, 3:07 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent U.S.-mediated trilateral talks between Russia, Ukraine, and American officials in Geneva during February 2026 produced limited progress on humanitarian issues and prisoner exchanges, following earlier rounds in Abu Dhabi. Direct bilateral engagement has remained stalled, with Russian Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov stating in April that resuming negotiations is not Moscow’s priority and that any Putin-Zelenskyy summit would occur only to finalize agreements already reached. A U.S.-brokered three-day ceasefire took effect May 9–11 around Russia’s Victory Day commemorations and included a prisoner exchange, though large-scale fighting soon resumed amid Russian advances in Donbas. These developments frame trader assessments of whether a substantive diplomatic meeting will occur by the market’s resolution date, as both sides continue to differ sharply over territorial concessions and security guarantees.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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