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世界·乌克兰

乌克兰在2027年之前加入北约？

icon for 乌克兰在2027年之前加入北约？
世界·乌克兰

乌克兰在2027年之前加入北约？

12月 31

12月 31

是

5% 概率
Polymarket

$1,132,175 交易量

是

5% 概率
Polymarket

$1,132,175 交易量

If Ukraine has officially joined NATO as a full member state at any point by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The primary settlement source for this market will be the official NATO website (https://www.nato.int/cps/en/natohq/nato_countries.htm), however other credible sources may be used.NATO Secretary General Mark Rutte's April 2026 statement that Ukraine's membership is not on the alliance's agenda—citing holdouts among four key allies—has solidified trader consensus implying 95% odds against accession before 2027, amid ongoing Russian invasion and territorial disputes that violate NATO's preconditions for enlargement. The unanimous approval required from all 32 members remains elusive, with no fast-track invitation issued at recent summits despite reaffirmed "irreversible paths" since Bucharest 2008. Zelenskyy's anticipated participation in the July 2026 NATO summit in Turkey offers a forum for dialogue, but entrenched divisions and the active conflict make near-term entry improbable. Realistic shifts would demand a verifiable ceasefire, resolved territorial claims, and sudden diplomatic consensus—scenarios viewed as highly unlikely by traders with skin in the game.

If Ukraine has officially joined NATO as a full member state at any point by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

The primary settlement source for this market will be the official NATO website (https://www.nato.int/cps/en/natohq/nato_countries.htm), however other credible sources may be used.
交易量
$1,132,175
结束日期
2026-12-31
市场开放时间
Nov 5, 2025, 2:22 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
If Ukraine has officially joined NATO as a full member state at any point by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The primary settlement source for this market will be the official NATO website (https://www.nato.int/cps/en/natohq/nato_countries.htm), however other credible sources may be used.
If Ukraine has officially joined NATO as a full member state at any point by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The primary settlement source for this market will be the official NATO website (https://www.nato.int/cps/en/natohq/nato_countries.htm), however other credible sources may be used.NATO Secretary General Mark Rutte's April 2026 statement that Ukraine's membership is not on the alliance's agenda—citing holdouts among four key allies—has solidified trader consensus implying 95% odds against accession before 2027, amid ongoing Russian invasion and territorial disputes that violate NATO's preconditions for enlargement. The unanimous approval required from all 32 members remains elusive, with no fast-track invitation issued at recent summits despite reaffirmed "irreversible paths" since Bucharest 2008. Zelenskyy's anticipated participation in the July 2026 NATO summit in Turkey offers a forum for dialogue, but entrenched divisions and the active conflict make near-term entry improbable. Realistic shifts would demand a verifiable ceasefire, resolved territorial claims, and sudden diplomatic consensus—scenarios viewed as highly unlikely by traders with skin in the game.

If Ukraine has officially joined NATO as a full member state at any point by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

The primary settlement source for this market will be the official NATO website (https://www.nato.int/cps/en/natohq/nato_countries.htm), however other credible sources may be used.
交易量
$1,132,175
结束日期
2026-12-31
市场开放时间
Nov 5, 2025, 2:22 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
If Ukraine has officially joined NATO as a full member state at any point by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The primary settlement source for this market will be the official NATO website (https://www.nato.int/cps/en/natohq/nato_countries.htm), however other credible sources may be used.

警惕外部链接哦。

常见问题

"乌克兰在2027年之前加入北约？"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 2 个可能结果的预测市场，交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"乌克兰会在2027年前加入北约吗？"，概率为 5%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如，价格为 5¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 5%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

截至目前，"乌克兰在2027年之前加入北约？"已产生 $1.1 million 的总交易量（自Nov 5, 2025市场上线以来）。这一活跃度反映了 Polymarket 社区的高度参与，并确保当前赔率由广泛的市场参与者共同形成。你可以直接在本页追踪实时价格变动并交易任何结果。

要在"乌克兰在2027年之前加入北约？"上交易，浏览本页上列出的 2 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓，选择你认为最可能的结果，选择"是"支持或"否"反对，输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确，你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确，支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

这是一个非常开放的市场。"乌克兰在2027年之前加入北约？"的当前领先者是"乌克兰会在2027年前加入北约吗？"，仅有 5%。由于没有任何结果占据明显优势，交易者认为这高度不确定，可能带来独特的交易机会。这些赔率实时更新，请将本页加入书签。

"乌克兰在2027年之前加入北约？"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则，因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。