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icon for 普京是否会在2026年8月31日之前与泽伦斯基会面?

普京是否会在2026年8月31日之前与泽伦斯基会面?

icon for 普京是否会在2026年8月31日之前与泽伦斯基会面?

普京是否会在2026年8月31日之前与泽伦斯基会面?

8% 概率
Polymarket
最新

8% 概率
Polymarket
最新
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Vladimir Putin meets with Volodymyr Zelenskyy between this market's creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify. A meeting is defined as any encounter where both Zelenskyy and Putin are present and interact with each other in person. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Recent diplomatic outreach has kept prospects for a direct Putin-Zelenskyy meeting finely balanced ahead of the August 31, 2026 deadline. Ukrainian President Zelenskyy’s early June open letter proposed face-to-face talks and a ceasefire, yet Russian President Putin immediately dismissed the idea as premature, citing preconditions such as territorial concessions and security guarantees while rejecting any meeting without prior results. Earlier 2026 trilateral U.S.-brokered sessions in Geneva and Abu Dhabi advanced lower-level dialogue and prisoner exchanges but produced no leader-level summit. Sustained U.S. mediation pressure under the Trump administration, alongside European calls for hosted talks, sustains trader expectations of possible progress, while Russia’s insistence on battlefield advantages and Ukraine’s resistance to major concessions create offsetting risks of continued stalemate. Any breakthrough in bilateral proposals or escalation in strikes could shift the near-even implied probability in either direction before the resolution window closes.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Vladimir Putin meets with Volodymyr Zelenskyy between this market's creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.

A meeting is defined as any encounter where both Zelenskyy and Putin are present and interact with each other in person.

The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$1,896
结束日期
2026-08-31
市场开放时间
Jun 18, 2026, 9:13 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Vladimir Putin meets with Volodymyr Zelenskyy between this market's creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify. A meeting is defined as any encounter where both Zelenskyy and Putin are present and interact with each other in person. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Vladimir Putin meets with Volodymyr Zelenskyy between this market's creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify. A meeting is defined as any encounter where both Zelenskyy and Putin are present and interact with each other in person. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Recent diplomatic outreach has kept prospects for a direct Putin-Zelenskyy meeting finely balanced ahead of the August 31, 2026 deadline. Ukrainian President Zelenskyy’s early June open letter proposed face-to-face talks and a ceasefire, yet Russian President Putin immediately dismissed the idea as premature, citing preconditions such as territorial concessions and security guarantees while rejecting any meeting without prior results. Earlier 2026 trilateral U.S.-brokered sessions in Geneva and Abu Dhabi advanced lower-level dialogue and prisoner exchanges but produced no leader-level summit. Sustained U.S. mediation pressure under the Trump administration, alongside European calls for hosted talks, sustains trader expectations of possible progress, while Russia’s insistence on battlefield advantages and Ukraine’s resistance to major concessions create offsetting risks of continued stalemate. Any breakthrough in bilateral proposals or escalation in strikes could shift the near-even implied probability in either direction before the resolution window closes.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Vladimir Putin meets with Volodymyr Zelenskyy between this market's creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.

A meeting is defined as any encounter where both Zelenskyy and Putin are present and interact with each other in person.

The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$1,896
结束日期
2026-08-31
市场开放时间
Jun 18, 2026, 9:13 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Vladimir Putin meets with Volodymyr Zelenskyy between this market's creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify. A meeting is defined as any encounter where both Zelenskyy and Putin are present and interact with each other in person. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

警惕外部链接哦。

常见问题

"普京是否会在2026年8月31日之前与泽伦斯基会面?"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 2 个可能结果的预测市场,交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"普京会在2026年8月31日之前与泽连斯基会面吗?",概率为 8%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如,价格为 8¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 8%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

"普京是否会在2026年8月31日之前与泽伦斯基会面?"是 Polymarket 上新创建的市场,于Jun 18, 2026上线。作为一个新市场,这是你率先设定赔率并建立初始价格信号的机会。你也可以将本页加入书签,以便跟踪交易量和活动。

要在"普京是否会在2026年8月31日之前与泽伦斯基会面?"上交易,浏览本页上列出的 2 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓,选择你认为最可能的结果,选择"是"支持或"否"反对,输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确,你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确,支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

这是一个非常开放的市场。"普京是否会在2026年8月31日之前与泽伦斯基会面?"的当前领先者是"普京会在2026年8月31日之前与泽连斯基会面吗?",仅有 8%。由于没有任何结果占据明显优势,交易者认为这高度不确定,可能带来独特的交易机会。这些赔率实时更新,请将本页加入书签。

"普京是否会在2026年8月31日之前与泽伦斯基会面?"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则,因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。