New People, a systemic opposition party with 15 current State Duma seats, enters the September 18–20, 2026, legislative election facing structural limits in Russia's mixed proportional and single-member district system. Government-affiliated polls place its support at 8–11 percent while independent surveys show 10–16 percent among decided voters, positioning it for possible modest gains but well behind United Russia. Recent party convention actions, a merger with the Party of Growth, and criticism of internet restrictions have boosted visibility among urban and younger voters, yet administrative controls, competition for protest votes, and single-mandate challenges constrain broader advances. Trader consensus on fewer than 35 seats reflects these entrenched barriers ahead of voting.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于少于35 85%
35–44 12.6%
45–54 2.6%
65–74 1.1%
$29,196 交易量
$29,196 交易量
2026-09-20
少于35
85%
35–44
13%
45–54
3%
55–64
1%
65–74
1%
75–84
<1%
85+
1%
少于35 85%
35–44 12.6%
45–54 2.6%
65–74 1.1%
$29,196 交易量
$29,196 交易量
2026-09-20
少于35
$11,193 交易量
85%
35–44
$7,482 交易量
13%
45–54
$2,042 交易量
3%
55–64
$2,146 交易量
1%
65–74
$2,425 交易量
1%
75–84
$1,811 交易量
<1%
85+
$2,097 交易量
1%
Legislative elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by New People (NL) in the State Duma as a result of the next Russian legislative election.
If results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.New People, a systemic opposition party with 15 current State Duma seats, enters the September 18–20, 2026, legislative election facing structural limits in Russia's mixed proportional and single-member district system. Government-affiliated polls place its support at 8–11 percent while independent surveys show 10–16 percent among decided voters, positioning it for possible modest gains but well behind United Russia. Recent party convention actions, a merger with the Party of Growth, and criticism of internet restrictions have boosted visibility among urban and younger voters, yet administrative controls, competition for protest votes, and single-mandate challenges constrain broader advances. Trader consensus on fewer than 35 seats reflects these entrenched barriers ahead of voting.
Legislative elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by New People (NL) in the State Duma as a result of the next Russian legislative election.
If results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by New People (NL) in the State Duma as a result of the next Russian legislative election.
If results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
市场开放时间： Sep 1, 2026, 8:54 PM ET
交易量
$29,196结束日期
2026-09-20市场开放时间
Sep 1, 2026, 8:54 PM ETLegislative elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by New People (NL) in the State Duma as a result of the next Russian legislative election.
If results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.New People, a systemic opposition party with 15 current State Duma seats, enters the September 18–20, 2026, legislative election facing structural limits in Russia's mixed proportional and single-member district system. Government-affiliated polls place its support at 8–11 percent while independent surveys show 10–16 percent among decided voters, positioning it for possible modest gains but well behind United Russia. Recent party convention actions, a merger with the Party of Growth, and criticism of internet restrictions have boosted visibility among urban and younger voters, yet administrative controls, competition for protest votes, and single-mandate challenges constrain broader advances. Trader consensus on fewer than 35 seats reflects these entrenched barriers ahead of voting.
Legislative elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by New People (NL) in the State Duma as a result of the next Russian legislative election.
If results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by New People (NL) in the State Duma as a result of the next Russian legislative election.
If results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
交易量
$29,196结束日期
2026-09-20市场开放时间
Sep 1, 2026, 8:54 PM ETNew People, a systemic opposition party with 15 current State Duma seats, enters the September 18–20, 2026, legislative election facing structural limits in Russia's mixed proportional and single-member district system. Government-affiliated polls place its support at 8–11 percent while independent surveys show 10–16 percent among decided voters, positioning it for possible modest gains but well behind United Russia. Recent party convention actions, a merger with the Party of Growth, and criticism of internet restrictions have boosted visibility among urban and younger voters, yet administrative controls, competition for protest votes, and single-mandate challenges constrain broader advances. Trader consensus on fewer than 35 seats reflects these entrenched barriers ahead of voting.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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警惕外部链接哦。
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