As of September 2026, traders see a 94.5% chance President Trump completes his term through the end of 2026. This reflects the high procedural thresholds for removal, such as a two-thirds Senate vote on impeachment or invocation of the 25th Amendment, neither of which shows bipartisan momentum in the current Congress. The 2026 midterm results preserved divided government without triggering the votes or investigations needed to shift these odds. No verified health developments, resignation signals, or cabinet actions have surfaced that would activate succession mechanisms. Policy focus remains on legislative and executive priorities within the existing administration structure.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于是
6% 概率
$11,772,468 交易量
$11,772,468 交易量
2026-12-31
是
6% 概率
$11,772,468 交易量
$11,772,468 交易量
2026-12-31
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.As of September 2026, traders see a 94.5% chance President Trump completes his term through the end of 2026. This reflects the high procedural thresholds for removal, such as a two-thirds Senate vote on impeachment or invocation of the 25th Amendment, neither of which shows bipartisan momentum in the current Congress. The 2026 midterm results preserved divided government without triggering the votes or investigations needed to shift these odds. No verified health developments, resignation signals, or cabinet actions have surfaced that would activate succession mechanisms. Policy focus remains on legislative and executive priorities within the existing administration structure.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
市场开放时间： Nov 5, 2025, 4:56 PM ET
交易量
$11,772,468结束日期
2027-01-01市场开放时间
Nov 5, 2025, 4:56 PM ETThis market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.As of September 2026, traders see a 94.5% chance President Trump completes his term through the end of 2026. This reflects the high procedural thresholds for removal, such as a two-thirds Senate vote on impeachment or invocation of the 25th Amendment, neither of which shows bipartisan momentum in the current Congress. The 2026 midterm results preserved divided government without triggering the votes or investigations needed to shift these odds. No verified health developments, resignation signals, or cabinet actions have surfaced that would activate succession mechanisms. Policy focus remains on legislative and executive priorities within the existing administration structure.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$11,772,468结束日期
2027-01-01市场开放时间
Nov 5, 2025, 4:56 PM ETAs of September 2026, traders see a 94.5% chance President Trump completes his term through the end of 2026. This reflects the high procedural thresholds for removal, such as a two-thirds Senate vote on impeachment or invocation of the 25th Amendment, neither of which shows bipartisan momentum in the current Congress. The 2026 midterm results preserved divided government without triggering the votes or investigations needed to shift these odds. No verified health developments, resignation signals, or cabinet actions have surfaced that would activate succession mechanisms. Policy focus remains on legislative and executive priorities within the existing administration structure.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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