The strong trader consensus that Donald Trump will remain president through at least the end of 2026 rests on the absence of credible removal mechanisms during the early portion of his term. Republican control of both chambers of Congress has kept impeachment proceedings off the legislative agenda, while no serious health issues, resignation indications, or invocation of the 25th Amendment have surfaced in official statements or reporting. Recent executive actions on border security and trade policy have sustained core support within the party, limiting internal pressure for leadership change. Midterm elections scheduled for November 2026 could shift House or Senate majorities, yet current structural advantages and polling trends point to continued stability in the executive branch ahead of any potential resolution trigger.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于是
$8,522,290 交易量
$8,522,290 交易量
是
$8,522,290 交易量
$8,522,290 交易量
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
市场开放时间: Nov 5, 2025, 4:56 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...The strong trader consensus that Donald Trump will remain president through at least the end of 2026 rests on the absence of credible removal mechanisms during the early portion of his term. Republican control of both chambers of Congress has kept impeachment proceedings off the legislative agenda, while no serious health issues, resignation indications, or invocation of the 25th Amendment have surfaced in official statements or reporting. Recent executive actions on border security and trade policy have sustained core support within the party, limiting internal pressure for leadership change. Midterm elections scheduled for November 2026 could shift House or Senate majorities, yet current structural advantages and polling trends point to continued stability in the executive branch ahead of any potential resolution trigger.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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