The executive order signed August 28, 2026, established a NASA-led Presidential Commission with a 120-day mandate to recommend governance, curricula, location, and legislative steps for the proposed U.S. Space Academy, but actual instruction requires congressional authorization, appropriations, facility development, faculty recruitment, and student enrollment. Recent NASA actions, including the September 9 commission meeting and a Request for Information with responses due October 26, underscore that the project remains in early planning, with internal timelines targeting 2028 for the first temporary class. These procedural and infrastructural hurdles create a narrow window before the June 30, 2027, resolution date, driving the 89.5% market-implied probability for "No."
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于是
11% 概率
最新
最新
2027-06-30
是
11% 概率
最新
最新
2027-06-30
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States Space Academy begins training its inaugural class of students at any point between market creation and June 30, 2027 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The "United States Space Academy" refers to the NASA-led federal service academy directed to be established under the executive order "Establishing the United States Space Academy," signed on August 28, 2026. "Begins training" means the Academy formally commences academic instruction or training for its first enrolled class of students or cadets.
The formation of the Presidential Commission on the United States Space Academy, the submission of the Commission's report, the enactment of enabling legislation, the selection of a location, or the construction or opening of facilities will not qualify as the commencement of training. The admission or enrollment of students without instruction having commenced also will not qualify. Actual commencement of instruction for the first class by June 30, 2027 is required for this market to resolve to "Yes".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official announcements from NASA and the White House; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The executive order signed August 28, 2026, established a NASA-led Presidential Commission with a 120-day mandate to recommend governance, curricula, location, and legislative steps for the proposed U.S. Space Academy, but actual instruction requires congressional authorization, appropriations, facility development, faculty recruitment, and student enrollment. Recent NASA actions, including the September 9 commission meeting and a Request for Information with responses due October 26, underscore that the project remains in early planning, with internal timelines targeting 2028 for the first temporary class. These procedural and infrastructural hurdles create a narrow window before the June 30, 2027, resolution date, driving the 89.5% market-implied probability for "No."
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States Space Academy begins training its inaugural class of students at any point between market creation and June 30, 2027 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The "United States Space Academy" refers to the NASA-led federal service academy directed to be established under the executive order "Establishing the United States Space Academy," signed on August 28, 2026. "Begins training" means the Academy formally commences academic instruction or training for its first enrolled class of students or cadets.
The formation of the Presidential Commission on the United States Space Academy, the submission of the Commission's report, the enactment of enabling legislation, the selection of a location, or the construction or opening of facilities will not qualify as the commencement of training. The admission or enrollment of students without instruction having commenced also will not qualify. Actual commencement of instruction for the first class by June 30, 2027 is required for this market to resolve to "Yes".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official announcements from NASA and the White House; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The "United States Space Academy" refers to the NASA-led federal service academy directed to be established under the executive order "Establishing the United States Space Academy," signed on August 28, 2026. "Begins training" means the Academy formally commences academic instruction or training for its first enrolled class of students or cadets.
The formation of the Presidential Commission on the United States Space Academy, the submission of the Commission's report, the enactment of enabling legislation, the selection of a location, or the construction or opening of facilities will not qualify as the commencement of training. The admission or enrollment of students without instruction having commenced also will not qualify. Actual commencement of instruction for the first class by June 30, 2027 is required for this market to resolve to "Yes".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official announcements from NASA and the White House; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间： Sep 1, 2026, 10:30 AM ET
交易量
$796结束日期
2027-07-01市场开放时间
Sep 1, 2026, 10:30 AM ETThis market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States Space Academy begins training its inaugural class of students at any point between market creation and June 30, 2027 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The "United States Space Academy" refers to the NASA-led federal service academy directed to be established under the executive order "Establishing the United States Space Academy," signed on August 28, 2026. "Begins training" means the Academy formally commences academic instruction or training for its first enrolled class of students or cadets.
The formation of the Presidential Commission on the United States Space Academy, the submission of the Commission's report, the enactment of enabling legislation, the selection of a location, or the construction or opening of facilities will not qualify as the commencement of training. The admission or enrollment of students without instruction having commenced also will not qualify. Actual commencement of instruction for the first class by June 30, 2027 is required for this market to resolve to "Yes".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official announcements from NASA and the White House; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The executive order signed August 28, 2026, established a NASA-led Presidential Commission with a 120-day mandate to recommend governance, curricula, location, and legislative steps for the proposed U.S. Space Academy, but actual instruction requires congressional authorization, appropriations, facility development, faculty recruitment, and student enrollment. Recent NASA actions, including the September 9 commission meeting and a Request for Information with responses due October 26, underscore that the project remains in early planning, with internal timelines targeting 2028 for the first temporary class. These procedural and infrastructural hurdles create a narrow window before the June 30, 2027, resolution date, driving the 89.5% market-implied probability for "No."
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States Space Academy begins training its inaugural class of students at any point between market creation and June 30, 2027 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The "United States Space Academy" refers to the NASA-led federal service academy directed to be established under the executive order "Establishing the United States Space Academy," signed on August 28, 2026. "Begins training" means the Academy formally commences academic instruction or training for its first enrolled class of students or cadets.
The formation of the Presidential Commission on the United States Space Academy, the submission of the Commission's report, the enactment of enabling legislation, the selection of a location, or the construction or opening of facilities will not qualify as the commencement of training. The admission or enrollment of students without instruction having commenced also will not qualify. Actual commencement of instruction for the first class by June 30, 2027 is required for this market to resolve to "Yes".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official announcements from NASA and the White House; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The "United States Space Academy" refers to the NASA-led federal service academy directed to be established under the executive order "Establishing the United States Space Academy," signed on August 28, 2026. "Begins training" means the Academy formally commences academic instruction or training for its first enrolled class of students or cadets.
The formation of the Presidential Commission on the United States Space Academy, the submission of the Commission's report, the enactment of enabling legislation, the selection of a location, or the construction or opening of facilities will not qualify as the commencement of training. The admission or enrollment of students without instruction having commenced also will not qualify. Actual commencement of instruction for the first class by June 30, 2027 is required for this market to resolve to "Yes".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official announcements from NASA and the White House; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$796结束日期
2027-07-01市场开放时间
Sep 1, 2026, 10:30 AM ETThe executive order signed August 28, 2026, established a NASA-led Presidential Commission with a 120-day mandate to recommend governance, curricula, location, and legislative steps for the proposed U.S. Space Academy, but actual instruction requires congressional authorization, appropriations, facility development, faculty recruitment, and student enrollment. Recent NASA actions, including the September 9 commission meeting and a Request for Information with responses due October 26, underscore that the project remains in early planning, with internal timelines targeting 2028 for the first temporary class. These procedural and infrastructural hurdles create a narrow window before the June 30, 2027, resolution date, driving the 89.5% market-implied probability for "No."
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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