U.S. officials have ordered repeated partial departures of non-emergency personnel and family members from the Beirut embassy since February 2026 amid heightened security risks tied to the Israel-Hezbollah conflict and regional tensions involving Iran. The State Department has suspended routine consular services, issued multiple travel alerts urging American citizens to depart via commercial flights, and closed the embassy to routine operations while stressing that any full evacuation would not rely on U.S. government assistance. Ongoing U.S.-brokered talks between Lebanese and Israeli delegations, including recent rounds in July, have produced framework agreements on withdrawals and disarmament but face persistent objections from Hezbollah and sporadic strikes. Trader assessments of a full embassy evacuation by a target date reflect these volatile diplomatic and military dynamics, with resolution hinging on whether security conditions deteriorate further before any de-escalation.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$117,489 交易量
2026-12-31
12月31日
4%
$117,489 交易量
12月31日
$23,387 交易量
4%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government announces a full evacuation of the U.S. Embassy in Beirut, Lebanon, or a full evacuation of the embassy is otherwise confirmed between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A full evacuation announced within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual evacuation subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Announcements of a partial evacuation, where some staff are intended to remain, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the U.S. government or a consensus of credible reporting confirming the evacuation of the embassy. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government announces a full evacuation of the U.S. Embassy in Beirut, Lebanon, or a full evacuation of the embassy is otherwise confirmed between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A full evacuation announced within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual evacuation subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Announcements of a partial evacuation, where some staff are intended to remain, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the U.S. government or a consensus of credible reporting confirming the evacuation of the embassy. U.S. officials have ordered repeated partial departures of non-emergency personnel and family members from the Beirut embassy since February 2026 amid heightened security risks tied to the Israel-Hezbollah conflict and regional tensions involving Iran. The State Department has suspended routine consular services, issued multiple travel alerts urging American citizens to depart via commercial flights, and closed the embassy to routine operations while stressing that any full evacuation would not rely on U.S. government assistance. Ongoing U.S.-brokered talks between Lebanese and Israeli delegations, including recent rounds in July, have produced framework agreements on withdrawals and disarmament but face persistent objections from Hezbollah and sporadic strikes. Trader assessments of a full embassy evacuation by a target date reflect these volatile diplomatic and military dynamics, with resolution hinging on whether security conditions deteriorate further before any de-escalation.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government announces a full evacuation of the U.S. Embassy in Beirut, Lebanon, or a full evacuation of the embassy is otherwise confirmed between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A full evacuation announced within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual evacuation subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Announcements of a partial evacuation, where some staff are intended to remain, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the U.S. government or a consensus of credible reporting confirming the evacuation of the embassy.
A full evacuation announced within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual evacuation subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Announcements of a partial evacuation, where some staff are intended to remain, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the U.S. government or a consensus of credible reporting confirming the evacuation of the embassy.
市场开放时间： Jun 30, 2026, 5:10 PM ET
交易量
$117,489结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Jun 30, 2026, 5:10 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government announces a full evacuation of the U.S. Embassy in Beirut, Lebanon, or a full evacuation of the embassy is otherwise confirmed between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A full evacuation announced within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual evacuation subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Announcements of a partial evacuation, where some staff are intended to remain, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the U.S. government or a consensus of credible reporting confirming the evacuation of the embassy. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government announces a full evacuation of the U.S. Embassy in Beirut, Lebanon, or a full evacuation of the embassy is otherwise confirmed between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A full evacuation announced within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual evacuation subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Announcements of a partial evacuation, where some staff are intended to remain, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the U.S. government or a consensus of credible reporting confirming the evacuation of the embassy. U.S. officials have ordered repeated partial departures of non-emergency personnel and family members from the Beirut embassy since February 2026 amid heightened security risks tied to the Israel-Hezbollah conflict and regional tensions involving Iran. The State Department has suspended routine consular services, issued multiple travel alerts urging American citizens to depart via commercial flights, and closed the embassy to routine operations while stressing that any full evacuation would not rely on U.S. government assistance. Ongoing U.S.-brokered talks between Lebanese and Israeli delegations, including recent rounds in July, have produced framework agreements on withdrawals and disarmament but face persistent objections from Hezbollah and sporadic strikes. Trader assessments of a full embassy evacuation by a target date reflect these volatile diplomatic and military dynamics, with resolution hinging on whether security conditions deteriorate further before any de-escalation.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government announces a full evacuation of the U.S. Embassy in Beirut, Lebanon, or a full evacuation of the embassy is otherwise confirmed between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A full evacuation announced within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual evacuation subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Announcements of a partial evacuation, where some staff are intended to remain, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the U.S. government or a consensus of credible reporting confirming the evacuation of the embassy.
A full evacuation announced within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual evacuation subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Announcements of a partial evacuation, where some staff are intended to remain, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the U.S. government or a consensus of credible reporting confirming the evacuation of the embassy.
交易量
$117,489结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Jun 30, 2026, 5:10 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...U.S. officials have ordered repeated partial departures of non-emergency personnel and family members from the Beirut embassy since February 2026 amid heightened security risks tied to the Israel-Hezbollah conflict and regional tensions involving Iran. The State Department has suspended routine consular services, issued multiple travel alerts urging American citizens to depart via commercial flights, and closed the embassy to routine operations while stressing that any full evacuation would not rely on U.S. government assistance. Ongoing U.S.-brokered talks between Lebanese and Israeli delegations, including recent rounds in July, have produced framework agreements on withdrawals and disarmament but face persistent objections from Hezbollah and sporadic strikes. Trader assessments of a full embassy evacuation by a target date reflect these volatile diplomatic and military dynamics, with resolution hinging on whether security conditions deteriorate further before any de-escalation.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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