Trader consensus reflects near-certainty at 99.5% "No" probability due to no official confirmation of US "kamikaze dolphins" despite viral attention from Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth's May 5 Pentagon briefing, where he quipped he could "neither confirm nor deny" their existence while ruling out Iran's use amid Strait of Hormuz tensions. The US Navy's marine mammal program has trained bottlenose dolphins for decades in non-lethal roles like mine detection and harbor defense, not suicide missions, as fact-checks affirmed by May 7. Absent a whistleblower leak, declassified disclosure, or explicit agency statement by May 31, resolution barriers remain high, sustaining trader confidence in non-occurrence.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于是
$26,890 交易量
$26,890 交易量
是
$26,890 交易量
$26,890 交易量
“Kamikaze dolphins” refers to the use of dolphins as weapons through the attachment of explosive devices to dolphins for the purpose of attacking ships or other targets. The use of dolphins for mine detection, surveillance, retrieval, harbor defense or other military purposes not involving the attachment of explosive devices will not qualify.
Confirmation of the existence of kamikaze dolphins requires confirmation that the United States military has used, trained, or equipped dolphins to conduct attack missions of this type, or operates an ongoing program for the use of kamikaze dolphins.
Official confirmation from the United States government or military of the existence of kamikaze dolphins will qualify. A consensus of credible reporting confirming the existence of kamikaze dolphins in the US military will also qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the United States government and military; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间: May 11, 2026, 6:39 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...“Kamikaze dolphins” refers to the use of dolphins as weapons through the attachment of explosive devices to dolphins for the purpose of attacking ships or other targets. The use of dolphins for mine detection, surveillance, retrieval, harbor defense or other military purposes not involving the attachment of explosive devices will not qualify.
Confirmation of the existence of kamikaze dolphins requires confirmation that the United States military has used, trained, or equipped dolphins to conduct attack missions of this type, or operates an ongoing program for the use of kamikaze dolphins.
Official confirmation from the United States government or military of the existence of kamikaze dolphins will qualify. A consensus of credible reporting confirming the existence of kamikaze dolphins in the US military will also qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the United States government and military; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus reflects near-certainty at 99.5% "No" probability due to no official confirmation of US "kamikaze dolphins" despite viral attention from Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth's May 5 Pentagon briefing, where he quipped he could "neither confirm nor deny" their existence while ruling out Iran's use amid Strait of Hormuz tensions. The US Navy's marine mammal program has trained bottlenose dolphins for decades in non-lethal roles like mine detection and harbor defense, not suicide missions, as fact-checks affirmed by May 7. Absent a whistleblower leak, declassified disclosure, or explicit agency statement by May 31, resolution barriers remain high, sustaining trader confidence in non-occurrence.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题