House Republicans maintained near-unanimous opposition as the latest Iran war powers resolution failed Thursday on a 212-212 tie—the third such House defeat this Congress—reinforcing trader consensus at 95.6% against passage by May 31. Democrats have introduced multiple concurrent resolutions under the War Powers Resolution, directing withdrawal of US forces from hostilities with Iran absent congressional authorization, but Senate blocks (e.g., 50-49 last week) and GOP unity backing President Trump's military actions have repeatedly stalled them post-60-day deadline. With two weeks left and no floor votes scheduled amid partisan gridlock, odds reflect slim paths forward; escalation, mass GOP defections, or urgent leadership maneuvers could prompt a surprise vote, though historical patterns favor inertia.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于最新
最新
2026-05-31
最新
最新
2026-05-31
This market will resolve to "Yes" if both the U.S. House of Representatives and the U.S. Senate pass the same bill, measure, or resolution that seeks to limit U.S. armed forces military action in the recent US/Israel-Iran conflict by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Legislation will qualify as seeking to limit U.S. armed forces military action in the recent US/Israel–Iran conflict if it explicitly seeks to restrict, terminate, or require congressional approval for U.S. armed forces’ hostilities, strikes, deployments, or other military operations against Iran or its proxy forces. Non-binding statements or measures that express disapproval, call for investigation, or otherwise relate to the US/Israel-Iran conflict without seeking to limit military action will not qualify.
A measure amended by either chamber will only qualify if the amended version is subsequently finally passed by both chambers in identical form.
The resolution sources will be official congressional voting records and a consensus of credible reporting.House Republicans maintained near-unanimous opposition as the latest Iran war powers resolution failed Thursday on a 212-212 tie—the third such House defeat this Congress—reinforcing trader consensus at 95.6% against passage by May 31. Democrats have introduced multiple concurrent resolutions under the War Powers Resolution, directing withdrawal of US forces from hostilities with Iran absent congressional authorization, but Senate blocks (e.g., 50-49 last week) and GOP unity backing President Trump's military actions have repeatedly stalled them post-60-day deadline. With two weeks left and no floor votes scheduled amid partisan gridlock, odds reflect slim paths forward; escalation, mass GOP defections, or urgent leadership maneuvers could prompt a surprise vote, though historical patterns favor inertia.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if both the U.S. House of Representatives and the U.S. Senate pass the same bill, measure, or resolution that seeks to limit U.S. armed forces military action in the recent US/Israel-Iran conflict by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Legislation will qualify as seeking to limit U.S. armed forces military action in the recent US/Israel–Iran conflict if it explicitly seeks to restrict, terminate, or require congressional approval for U.S. armed forces’ hostilities, strikes, deployments, or other military operations against Iran or its proxy forces. Non-binding statements or measures that express disapproval, call for investigation, or otherwise relate to the US/Israel-Iran conflict without seeking to limit military action will not qualify.
A measure amended by either chamber will only qualify if the amended version is subsequently finally passed by both chambers in identical form.
The resolution sources will be official congressional voting records and a consensus of credible reporting.
Legislation will qualify as seeking to limit U.S. armed forces military action in the recent US/Israel–Iran conflict if it explicitly seeks to restrict, terminate, or require congressional approval for U.S. armed forces’ hostilities, strikes, deployments, or other military operations against Iran or its proxy forces. Non-binding statements or measures that express disapproval, call for investigation, or otherwise relate to the US/Israel-Iran conflict without seeking to limit military action will not qualify.
A measure amended by either chamber will only qualify if the amended version is subsequently finally passed by both chambers in identical form.
The resolution sources will be official congressional voting records and a consensus of credible reporting.
市场开放时间： Apr 27, 2026, 5:51 PM ET
交易量
$2,538结束日期
2026-05-31市场开放时间
Apr 27, 2026, 5:51 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if both the U.S. House of Representatives and the U.S. Senate pass the same bill, measure, or resolution that seeks to limit U.S. armed forces military action in the recent US/Israel-Iran conflict by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Legislation will qualify as seeking to limit U.S. armed forces military action in the recent US/Israel–Iran conflict if it explicitly seeks to restrict, terminate, or require congressional approval for U.S. armed forces’ hostilities, strikes, deployments, or other military operations against Iran or its proxy forces. Non-binding statements or measures that express disapproval, call for investigation, or otherwise relate to the US/Israel-Iran conflict without seeking to limit military action will not qualify.
A measure amended by either chamber will only qualify if the amended version is subsequently finally passed by both chambers in identical form.
The resolution sources will be official congressional voting records and a consensus of credible reporting.House Republicans maintained near-unanimous opposition as the latest Iran war powers resolution failed Thursday on a 212-212 tie—the third such House defeat this Congress—reinforcing trader consensus at 95.6% against passage by May 31. Democrats have introduced multiple concurrent resolutions under the War Powers Resolution, directing withdrawal of US forces from hostilities with Iran absent congressional authorization, but Senate blocks (e.g., 50-49 last week) and GOP unity backing President Trump's military actions have repeatedly stalled them post-60-day deadline. With two weeks left and no floor votes scheduled amid partisan gridlock, odds reflect slim paths forward; escalation, mass GOP defections, or urgent leadership maneuvers could prompt a surprise vote, though historical patterns favor inertia.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if both the U.S. House of Representatives and the U.S. Senate pass the same bill, measure, or resolution that seeks to limit U.S. armed forces military action in the recent US/Israel-Iran conflict by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Legislation will qualify as seeking to limit U.S. armed forces military action in the recent US/Israel–Iran conflict if it explicitly seeks to restrict, terminate, or require congressional approval for U.S. armed forces’ hostilities, strikes, deployments, or other military operations against Iran or its proxy forces. Non-binding statements or measures that express disapproval, call for investigation, or otherwise relate to the US/Israel-Iran conflict without seeking to limit military action will not qualify.
A measure amended by either chamber will only qualify if the amended version is subsequently finally passed by both chambers in identical form.
The resolution sources will be official congressional voting records and a consensus of credible reporting.
Legislation will qualify as seeking to limit U.S. armed forces military action in the recent US/Israel–Iran conflict if it explicitly seeks to restrict, terminate, or require congressional approval for U.S. armed forces’ hostilities, strikes, deployments, or other military operations against Iran or its proxy forces. Non-binding statements or measures that express disapproval, call for investigation, or otherwise relate to the US/Israel-Iran conflict without seeking to limit military action will not qualify.
A measure amended by either chamber will only qualify if the amended version is subsequently finally passed by both chambers in identical form.
The resolution sources will be official congressional voting records and a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$2,538结束日期
2026-05-31市场开放时间
Apr 27, 2026, 5:51 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...House Republicans maintained near-unanimous opposition as the latest Iran war powers resolution failed Thursday on a 212-212 tie—the third such House defeat this Congress—reinforcing trader consensus at 95.6% against passage by May 31. Democrats have introduced multiple concurrent resolutions under the War Powers Resolution, directing withdrawal of US forces from hostilities with Iran absent congressional authorization, but Senate blocks (e.g., 50-49 last week) and GOP unity backing President Trump's military actions have repeatedly stalled them post-60-day deadline. With two weeks left and no floor votes scheduled amid partisan gridlock, odds reflect slim paths forward; escalation, mass GOP defections, or urgent leadership maneuvers could prompt a surprise vote, though historical patterns favor inertia.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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