Trader consensus prices an 88% implied probability on "No" for President Trump publicly praising Allah again by May 31, driven by the official termination of US-Iran hostilities announced on May 1—no exchange of fire since April 7—and absence of similar rhetoric in the five weeks since early April posts amid peak escalation threats over the Strait of Hormuz. Those statements, including on Easter Sunday, coincided with airstrikes and war crime-adjacent warnings, but de-escalation signals, depleted munitions, and Trump's pivot to China diplomacy summit have sidelined Iran focus. Without fresh provocations like renewed military actions or diplomatic breakdowns, traders anticipate no recurrence before deadline, though sudden escalations could alter odds.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$33,360 交易量
$33,360 交易量
2026-05-31
$33,360 交易量
$33,360 交易量
2026-05-31
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump publicly praises Allah between the time of its creation and May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying statement includes any remark by Donald Trump that expresses approval, admiration, respect, or reverence for the Islamic deity referred to as Allah. This can include direct praise (e.g., “Praise be to Allah”) or equivalent positive descriptions (“Allah is great”).
General neutrality or polite diplomatic language (e.g., “Yes, I posted about Allah”) will not qualify unless it contains a clear element of positive evaluation.
Any written, verbal, or recorded usage will qualify.
Text or speech contained in images, memes, or videos posted by Trump on his official social media accounts will qualify if it clearly expresses approval, admiration, respect, or reverence toward Allah, provided that any additional posted commentary from Trump does not explicitly contradict that sentiment. Media contained only within reposts or posts quoted by Trump will not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be public statements from Donald Trump.Trader consensus prices an 88% implied probability on "No" for President Trump publicly praising Allah again by May 31, driven by the official termination of US-Iran hostilities announced on May 1—no exchange of fire since April 7—and absence of similar rhetoric in the five weeks since early April posts amid peak escalation threats over the Strait of Hormuz. Those statements, including on Easter Sunday, coincided with airstrikes and war crime-adjacent warnings, but de-escalation signals, depleted munitions, and Trump's pivot to China diplomacy summit have sidelined Iran focus. Without fresh provocations like renewed military actions or diplomatic breakdowns, traders anticipate no recurrence before deadline, though sudden escalations could alter odds.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump publicly praises Allah between the time of its creation and May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying statement includes any remark by Donald Trump that expresses approval, admiration, respect, or reverence for the Islamic deity referred to as Allah. This can include direct praise (e.g., “Praise be to Allah”) or equivalent positive descriptions (“Allah is great”).
General neutrality or polite diplomatic language (e.g., “Yes, I posted about Allah”) will not qualify unless it contains a clear element of positive evaluation.
Any written, verbal, or recorded usage will qualify.
Text or speech contained in images, memes, or videos posted by Trump on his official social media accounts will qualify if it clearly expresses approval, admiration, respect, or reverence toward Allah, provided that any additional posted commentary from Trump does not explicitly contradict that sentiment. Media contained only within reposts or posts quoted by Trump will not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be public statements from Donald Trump.
A qualifying statement includes any remark by Donald Trump that expresses approval, admiration, respect, or reverence for the Islamic deity referred to as Allah. This can include direct praise (e.g., “Praise be to Allah”) or equivalent positive descriptions (“Allah is great”).
General neutrality or polite diplomatic language (e.g., “Yes, I posted about Allah”) will not qualify unless it contains a clear element of positive evaluation.
Any written, verbal, or recorded usage will qualify.
Text or speech contained in images, memes, or videos posted by Trump on his official social media accounts will qualify if it clearly expresses approval, admiration, respect, or reverence toward Allah, provided that any additional posted commentary from Trump does not explicitly contradict that sentiment. Media contained only within reposts or posts quoted by Trump will not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be public statements from Donald Trump.
市场开放时间： Apr 30, 2026, 2:37 PM ET
交易量
$33,360结束日期
2026-05-31市场开放时间
Apr 30, 2026, 2:37 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump publicly praises Allah between the time of its creation and May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying statement includes any remark by Donald Trump that expresses approval, admiration, respect, or reverence for the Islamic deity referred to as Allah. This can include direct praise (e.g., “Praise be to Allah”) or equivalent positive descriptions (“Allah is great”).
General neutrality or polite diplomatic language (e.g., “Yes, I posted about Allah”) will not qualify unless it contains a clear element of positive evaluation.
Any written, verbal, or recorded usage will qualify.
Text or speech contained in images, memes, or videos posted by Trump on his official social media accounts will qualify if it clearly expresses approval, admiration, respect, or reverence toward Allah, provided that any additional posted commentary from Trump does not explicitly contradict that sentiment. Media contained only within reposts or posts quoted by Trump will not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be public statements from Donald Trump.Trader consensus prices an 88% implied probability on "No" for President Trump publicly praising Allah again by May 31, driven by the official termination of US-Iran hostilities announced on May 1—no exchange of fire since April 7—and absence of similar rhetoric in the five weeks since early April posts amid peak escalation threats over the Strait of Hormuz. Those statements, including on Easter Sunday, coincided with airstrikes and war crime-adjacent warnings, but de-escalation signals, depleted munitions, and Trump's pivot to China diplomacy summit have sidelined Iran focus. Without fresh provocations like renewed military actions or diplomatic breakdowns, traders anticipate no recurrence before deadline, though sudden escalations could alter odds.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump publicly praises Allah between the time of its creation and May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying statement includes any remark by Donald Trump that expresses approval, admiration, respect, or reverence for the Islamic deity referred to as Allah. This can include direct praise (e.g., “Praise be to Allah”) or equivalent positive descriptions (“Allah is great”).
General neutrality or polite diplomatic language (e.g., “Yes, I posted about Allah”) will not qualify unless it contains a clear element of positive evaluation.
Any written, verbal, or recorded usage will qualify.
Text or speech contained in images, memes, or videos posted by Trump on his official social media accounts will qualify if it clearly expresses approval, admiration, respect, or reverence toward Allah, provided that any additional posted commentary from Trump does not explicitly contradict that sentiment. Media contained only within reposts or posts quoted by Trump will not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be public statements from Donald Trump.
A qualifying statement includes any remark by Donald Trump that expresses approval, admiration, respect, or reverence for the Islamic deity referred to as Allah. This can include direct praise (e.g., “Praise be to Allah”) or equivalent positive descriptions (“Allah is great”).
General neutrality or polite diplomatic language (e.g., “Yes, I posted about Allah”) will not qualify unless it contains a clear element of positive evaluation.
Any written, verbal, or recorded usage will qualify.
Text or speech contained in images, memes, or videos posted by Trump on his official social media accounts will qualify if it clearly expresses approval, admiration, respect, or reverence toward Allah, provided that any additional posted commentary from Trump does not explicitly contradict that sentiment. Media contained only within reposts or posts quoted by Trump will not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be public statements from Donald Trump.
交易量
$33,360结束日期
2026-05-31市场开放时间
Apr 30, 2026, 2:37 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus prices an 88% implied probability on "No" for President Trump publicly praising Allah again by May 31, driven by the official termination of US-Iran hostilities announced on May 1—no exchange of fire since April 7—and absence of similar rhetoric in the five weeks since early April posts amid peak escalation threats over the Strait of Hormuz. Those statements, including on Easter Sunday, coincided with airstrikes and war crime-adjacent warnings, but de-escalation signals, depleted munitions, and Trump's pivot to China diplomacy summit have sidelined Iran focus. Without fresh provocations like renewed military actions or diplomatic breakdowns, traders anticipate no recurrence before deadline, though sudden escalations could alter odds.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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