Ongoing U.S.-Iran diplomatic efforts center on indirect talks over a potential ceasefire, reopening the Strait of Hormuz to commercial shipping, and limits on Iran's nuclear program. Recent developments include President Trump's May 13-15 Beijing summit with Chinese leader Xi Jinping, where Iran featured prominently amid stalled negotiations, and Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi's May 15 statements expressing doubts about U.S. seriousness following earlier airstrikes. Trader positioning favors envoys like Jared Kushner and Steve Witkoff, reflecting their prior roles in Pakistan-mediated sessions from April. Key upcoming catalysts include possible additional rounds in Pakistan or Oman before the May 31 deadline, though Iran's insistence on uranium stockpile concessions sustains uncertainty over direct high-level contact.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$81,480 交易量
2026-05-31
Steve Witkoff
22%
Jared Kushner
21%
J.D. Vance
12%
Marco Rubio
5%
Donald Trump
3%
$81,480 交易量
Steve Witkoff
$20,017 交易量
22%
Jared Kushner
$22,710 交易量
21%
J.D. Vance
$23,676 交易量
12%
Marco Rubio
$5,680 交易量
5%
Donald Trump
$9,397 交易量
3%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between the listed individual, acting as a representative of the United States, and representatives of Iran by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
To qualify, the listed individual must be physically present at the meeting and actively participate as a negotiator representing the United States.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Ongoing U.S.-Iran diplomatic efforts center on indirect talks over a potential ceasefire, reopening the Strait of Hormuz to commercial shipping, and limits on Iran's nuclear program. Recent developments include President Trump's May 13-15 Beijing summit with Chinese leader Xi Jinping, where Iran featured prominently amid stalled negotiations, and Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi's May 15 statements expressing doubts about U.S. seriousness following earlier airstrikes. Trader positioning favors envoys like Jared Kushner and Steve Witkoff, reflecting their prior roles in Pakistan-mediated sessions from April. Key upcoming catalysts include possible additional rounds in Pakistan or Oman before the May 31 deadline, though Iran's insistence on uranium stockpile concessions sustains uncertainty over direct high-level contact.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between the listed individual, acting as a representative of the United States, and representatives of Iran by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
To qualify, the listed individual must be physically present at the meeting and actively participate as a negotiator representing the United States.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
To qualify, the listed individual must be physically present at the meeting and actively participate as a negotiator representing the United States.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
市场开放时间： Apr 30, 2026, 2:36 PM ET
交易量
$81,480结束日期
2026-05-31市场开放时间
Apr 30, 2026, 2:36 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between the listed individual, acting as a representative of the United States, and representatives of Iran by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
To qualify, the listed individual must be physically present at the meeting and actively participate as a negotiator representing the United States.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Ongoing U.S.-Iran diplomatic efforts center on indirect talks over a potential ceasefire, reopening the Strait of Hormuz to commercial shipping, and limits on Iran's nuclear program. Recent developments include President Trump's May 13-15 Beijing summit with Chinese leader Xi Jinping, where Iran featured prominently amid stalled negotiations, and Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi's May 15 statements expressing doubts about U.S. seriousness following earlier airstrikes. Trader positioning favors envoys like Jared Kushner and Steve Witkoff, reflecting their prior roles in Pakistan-mediated sessions from April. Key upcoming catalysts include possible additional rounds in Pakistan or Oman before the May 31 deadline, though Iran's insistence on uranium stockpile concessions sustains uncertainty over direct high-level contact.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between the listed individual, acting as a representative of the United States, and representatives of Iran by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
To qualify, the listed individual must be physically present at the meeting and actively participate as a negotiator representing the United States.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
To qualify, the listed individual must be physically present at the meeting and actively participate as a negotiator representing the United States.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
交易量
$81,480结束日期
2026-05-31市场开放时间
Apr 30, 2026, 2:36 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Ongoing U.S.-Iran diplomatic efforts center on indirect talks over a potential ceasefire, reopening the Strait of Hormuz to commercial shipping, and limits on Iran's nuclear program. Recent developments include President Trump's May 13-15 Beijing summit with Chinese leader Xi Jinping, where Iran featured prominently amid stalled negotiations, and Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi's May 15 statements expressing doubts about U.S. seriousness following earlier airstrikes. Trader positioning favors envoys like Jared Kushner and Steve Witkoff, reflecting their prior roles in Pakistan-mediated sessions from April. Key upcoming catalysts include possible additional rounds in Pakistan or Oman before the May 31 deadline, though Iran's insistence on uranium stockpile concessions sustains uncertainty over direct high-level contact.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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