Ongoing negotiations between the United States and Iran remain stalled over core demands for curbs on Tehran’s uranium enrichment program, with Washington seeking a long-term moratorium or outright limits while Tehran insists on retaining enrichment rights for civilian purposes. Recent proposals for a preliminary memorandum to pause hostilities and reopen the Strait of Hormuz have advanced talks on sanctions relief and shipping, yet major gaps persist on nuclear verification, stockpile disposition, and the duration of any suspension. With the May 31 deadline approaching and no breakthrough in the latest rounds of discussions, trader consensus reflects the limited time available to bridge these differences before the cutoff.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$612,708 交易量
$612,708 交易量
2026-05-31
$612,708 交易量
$612,708 交易量
2026-05-31
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over Iranian nuclear research and/or nuclear weapon development, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and Iran by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Iran as parties, even if they also involve other countries (e.g., a multilateral deal like the JCPOA), will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and/or the Islamic Republic of Iran, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.Ongoing negotiations between the United States and Iran remain stalled over core demands for curbs on Tehran’s uranium enrichment program, with Washington seeking a long-term moratorium or outright limits while Tehran insists on retaining enrichment rights for civilian purposes. Recent proposals for a preliminary memorandum to pause hostilities and reopen the Strait of Hormuz have advanced talks on sanctions relief and shipping, yet major gaps persist on nuclear verification, stockpile disposition, and the duration of any suspension. With the May 31 deadline approaching and no breakthrough in the latest rounds of discussions, trader consensus reflects the limited time available to bridge these differences before the cutoff.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over Iranian nuclear research and/or nuclear weapon development, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and Iran by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Iran as parties, even if they also involve other countries (e.g., a multilateral deal like the JCPOA), will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and/or the Islamic Republic of Iran, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Iran as parties, even if they also involve other countries (e.g., a multilateral deal like the JCPOA), will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and/or the Islamic Republic of Iran, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
市场开放时间： Apr 28, 2026, 10:39 PM ET
交易量
$612,708结束日期
2026-05-31市场开放时间
Apr 28, 2026, 10:39 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over Iranian nuclear research and/or nuclear weapon development, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and Iran by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Iran as parties, even if they also involve other countries (e.g., a multilateral deal like the JCPOA), will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and/or the Islamic Republic of Iran, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.Ongoing negotiations between the United States and Iran remain stalled over core demands for curbs on Tehran’s uranium enrichment program, with Washington seeking a long-term moratorium or outright limits while Tehran insists on retaining enrichment rights for civilian purposes. Recent proposals for a preliminary memorandum to pause hostilities and reopen the Strait of Hormuz have advanced talks on sanctions relief and shipping, yet major gaps persist on nuclear verification, stockpile disposition, and the duration of any suspension. With the May 31 deadline approaching and no breakthrough in the latest rounds of discussions, trader consensus reflects the limited time available to bridge these differences before the cutoff.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over Iranian nuclear research and/or nuclear weapon development, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and Iran by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Iran as parties, even if they also involve other countries (e.g., a multilateral deal like the JCPOA), will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and/or the Islamic Republic of Iran, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Iran as parties, even if they also involve other countries (e.g., a multilateral deal like the JCPOA), will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and/or the Islamic Republic of Iran, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
交易量
$612,836结束日期
2026-05-31市场开放时间
Apr 28, 2026, 10:39 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Ongoing negotiations between the United States and Iran remain stalled over core demands for curbs on Tehran’s uranium enrichment program, with Washington seeking a long-term moratorium or outright limits while Tehran insists on retaining enrichment rights for civilian purposes. Recent proposals for a preliminary memorandum to pause hostilities and reopen the Strait of Hormuz have advanced talks on sanctions relief and shipping, yet major gaps persist on nuclear verification, stockpile disposition, and the duration of any suspension. With the May 31 deadline approaching and no breakthrough in the latest rounds of discussions, trader consensus reflects the limited time available to bridge these differences before the cutoff.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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