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icon for JD Vance是否会在...前访问巴基斯坦?

JD Vance是否会在...前访问巴基斯坦?

icon for JD Vance是否会在...前访问巴基斯坦?

JD Vance是否会在...前访问巴基斯坦?

$136,600 交易量

2026-05-31
Polymarket

$136,600 交易量

Polymarket

May 31

$23,872 交易量

14%

If JD Vance visits Pakistan by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Vance physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of Pakistan. Whether or not Vance enters the country's airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution. The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from government of the United States of America, however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used. Vice President JD Vance visited Islamabad on April 11-12, 2026, to lead U.S.-Iran peace negotiations hosted by Pakistan, underscoring Islamabad's neutral role in de-escalating the conflict and addressing Strait of Hormuz tensions amid a fragile ceasefire. The high-stakes trip, confirmed by White House remarks and post-visit interviews, advanced initial proposals but yielded no breakthrough. A follow-up Vance trip planned for April 21 was postponed indefinitely after Iran declined participation, shifting focus to indirect channels. With no new announcements through mid-May and diplomatic momentum stalled, traders monitor U.S.-Iran signals, regional summits, and Pakistan's mediation for any rescheduling before potential year-end resolution.

If JD Vance visits Pakistan by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Vance physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of Pakistan. Whether or not Vance enters the country's airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution.

The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from government of the United States of America, however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
交易量
$136,600
市场开放时间
Apr 29, 2026, 5:00 PM ET
If JD Vance visits Pakistan by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Vance physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of Pakistan. Whether or not Vance enters the country's airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution. The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from government of the United States of America, however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
If JD Vance visits Pakistan by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Vance physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of Pakistan. Whether or not Vance enters the country's airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution. The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from government of the United States of America, however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used. Vice President JD Vance visited Islamabad on April 11-12, 2026, to lead U.S.-Iran peace negotiations hosted by Pakistan, underscoring Islamabad's neutral role in de-escalating the conflict and addressing Strait of Hormuz tensions amid a fragile ceasefire. The high-stakes trip, confirmed by White House remarks and post-visit interviews, advanced initial proposals but yielded no breakthrough. A follow-up Vance trip planned for April 21 was postponed indefinitely after Iran declined participation, shifting focus to indirect channels. With no new announcements through mid-May and diplomatic momentum stalled, traders monitor U.S.-Iran signals, regional summits, and Pakistan's mediation for any rescheduling before potential year-end resolution.

If JD Vance visits Pakistan by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Vance physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of Pakistan. Whether or not Vance enters the country's airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution.

The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from government of the United States of America, however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
交易量
$136,600
市场开放时间
Apr 29, 2026, 5:00 PM ET
If JD Vance visits Pakistan by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Vance physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of Pakistan. Whether or not Vance enters the country's airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution. The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from government of the United States of America, however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

警惕外部链接哦。

常见问题

"JD Vance是否会在...前访问巴基斯坦?"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 7 个可能结果的预测市场,交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"May 31",概率为 14%,其次是"4月22日",概率为 0%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如,价格为 14¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 14%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

截至目前,"JD Vance是否会在...前访问巴基斯坦?"已产生 $136.6K 的总交易量(自Apr 21, 2026市场上线以来)。这一活跃度反映了 Polymarket 社区的高度参与,并确保当前赔率由广泛的市场参与者共同形成。你可以直接在本页追踪实时价格变动并交易任何结果。

要在"JD Vance是否会在...前访问巴基斯坦?"上交易,浏览本页上列出的 7 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓,选择你认为最可能的结果,选择"是"支持或"否"反对,输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确,你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确,支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"JD Vance是否会在...前访问巴基斯坦?"的当前领先者是"May 31",概率为 14%,意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 14%。紧随其后的结果是"4月22日",概率为 0%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"JD Vance是否会在...前访问巴基斯坦?"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则,因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。