Recent diplomatic frameworks floated by the Trump administration in late 2025 initially referenced de facto Russian control over Crimea, Luhansk, and Donetsk but were revised to explicitly uphold Ukraine’s sovereignty and territorial integrity. Multiple rounds of US-mediated talks through early 2026 produced no formal recognition, with Ukrainian officials rejecting concessions and a short May 2026 ceasefire yielding no policy shift. Bipartisan congressional measures further constrain any acknowledgment of Russian claims, while stalled negotiations and Ukrainian resistance leave insufficient time for official US action before the December 31, 2026 resolution deadline. Traders therefore assign the bulk of probability to continued non-recognition.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于是
$41,792 交易量
$41,792 交易量
2026-12-31
是
$41,792 交易量
$41,792 交易量
2026-12-31
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States government officially recognizes Russian sovereignty over any portion of Ukrainian territory by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Donald Trump's March 25, 2019, recognition of Israel's sovereignty over the Golan Heights is an example of a qualifying action.
Statement of intents, or announcements of planned recognition will not qualify.
Ukrainian territory is defined as any portion of Ukraine as recognized by the UN at the start of the present conflict on February 24, 2022, including Crimea.
The resolution source will be official U.S. government statements and credible reporting from major news organizations.Recent diplomatic frameworks floated by the Trump administration in late 2025 initially referenced de facto Russian control over Crimea, Luhansk, and Donetsk but were revised to explicitly uphold Ukraine’s sovereignty and territorial integrity. Multiple rounds of US-mediated talks through early 2026 produced no formal recognition, with Ukrainian officials rejecting concessions and a short May 2026 ceasefire yielding no policy shift. Bipartisan congressional measures further constrain any acknowledgment of Russian claims, while stalled negotiations and Ukrainian resistance leave insufficient time for official US action before the December 31, 2026 resolution deadline. Traders therefore assign the bulk of probability to continued non-recognition.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States government officially recognizes Russian sovereignty over any portion of Ukrainian territory by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Donald Trump's March 25, 2019, recognition of Israel's sovereignty over the Golan Heights is an example of a qualifying action.
Statement of intents, or announcements of planned recognition will not qualify.
Ukrainian territory is defined as any portion of Ukraine as recognized by the UN at the start of the present conflict on February 24, 2022, including Crimea.
The resolution source will be official U.S. government statements and credible reporting from major news organizations.
Donald Trump's March 25, 2019, recognition of Israel's sovereignty over the Golan Heights is an example of a qualifying action.
Statement of intents, or announcements of planned recognition will not qualify.
Ukrainian territory is defined as any portion of Ukraine as recognized by the UN at the start of the present conflict on February 24, 2022, including Crimea.
The resolution source will be official U.S. government statements and credible reporting from major news organizations.
市场开放时间： Nov 13, 2025, 5:51 PM ET
交易量
$41,792结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Nov 13, 2025, 5:51 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States government officially recognizes Russian sovereignty over any portion of Ukrainian territory by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Donald Trump's March 25, 2019, recognition of Israel's sovereignty over the Golan Heights is an example of a qualifying action.
Statement of intents, or announcements of planned recognition will not qualify.
Ukrainian territory is defined as any portion of Ukraine as recognized by the UN at the start of the present conflict on February 24, 2022, including Crimea.
The resolution source will be official U.S. government statements and credible reporting from major news organizations.Recent diplomatic frameworks floated by the Trump administration in late 2025 initially referenced de facto Russian control over Crimea, Luhansk, and Donetsk but were revised to explicitly uphold Ukraine’s sovereignty and territorial integrity. Multiple rounds of US-mediated talks through early 2026 produced no formal recognition, with Ukrainian officials rejecting concessions and a short May 2026 ceasefire yielding no policy shift. Bipartisan congressional measures further constrain any acknowledgment of Russian claims, while stalled negotiations and Ukrainian resistance leave insufficient time for official US action before the December 31, 2026 resolution deadline. Traders therefore assign the bulk of probability to continued non-recognition.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States government officially recognizes Russian sovereignty over any portion of Ukrainian territory by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Donald Trump's March 25, 2019, recognition of Israel's sovereignty over the Golan Heights is an example of a qualifying action.
Statement of intents, or announcements of planned recognition will not qualify.
Ukrainian territory is defined as any portion of Ukraine as recognized by the UN at the start of the present conflict on February 24, 2022, including Crimea.
The resolution source will be official U.S. government statements and credible reporting from major news organizations.
Donald Trump's March 25, 2019, recognition of Israel's sovereignty over the Golan Heights is an example of a qualifying action.
Statement of intents, or announcements of planned recognition will not qualify.
Ukrainian territory is defined as any portion of Ukraine as recognized by the UN at the start of the present conflict on February 24, 2022, including Crimea.
The resolution source will be official U.S. government statements and credible reporting from major news organizations.
交易量
$41,792结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Nov 13, 2025, 5:51 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent diplomatic frameworks floated by the Trump administration in late 2025 initially referenced de facto Russian control over Crimea, Luhansk, and Donetsk but were revised to explicitly uphold Ukraine’s sovereignty and territorial integrity. Multiple rounds of US-mediated talks through early 2026 produced no formal recognition, with Ukrainian officials rejecting concessions and a short May 2026 ceasefire yielding no policy shift. Bipartisan congressional measures further constrain any acknowledgment of Russian claims, while stalled negotiations and Ukrainian resistance leave insufficient time for official US action before the December 31, 2026 resolution deadline. Traders therefore assign the bulk of probability to continued non-recognition.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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