US policy under the current administration has prioritized brokered ceasefires and peace talks that could involve territorial compromises along current lines of control, yet repeated proposals have produced no formal recognition of Russian sovereignty over Ukrainian territory. Stalled negotiations since early 2026, Ukrainian rejection of maximalist demands on NATO accession and demilitarization, and continued US and allied affirmations of Ukraine’s internationally recognized borders have kept such recognition off the agenda. With no scheduled diplomatic breakthroughs or policy shifts before year-end 2026, the 93.5% implied probability on “No” reflects the absence of verifiable moves toward official acknowledgment of Russian claims.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于是
7% 概率
$184,983 交易量
$184,983 交易量
2026-12-31
是
7% 概率
$184,983 交易量
$184,983 交易量
2026-12-31
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States government officially recognizes Russian sovereignty over any portion of Ukrainian territory by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Donald Trump's March 25, 2019, recognition of Israel's sovereignty over the Golan Heights is an example of a qualifying action.
Statement of intents, or announcements of planned recognition will not qualify.
Ukrainian territory is defined as any portion of Ukraine as recognized by the UN at the start of the present conflict on February 24, 2022, including Crimea.
The resolution source will be official U.S. government statements and credible reporting from major news organizations.US policy under the current administration has prioritized brokered ceasefires and peace talks that could involve territorial compromises along current lines of control, yet repeated proposals have produced no formal recognition of Russian sovereignty over Ukrainian territory. Stalled negotiations since early 2026, Ukrainian rejection of maximalist demands on NATO accession and demilitarization, and continued US and allied affirmations of Ukraine’s internationally recognized borders have kept such recognition off the agenda. With no scheduled diplomatic breakthroughs or policy shifts before year-end 2026, the 93.5% implied probability on “No” reflects the absence of verifiable moves toward official acknowledgment of Russian claims.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States government officially recognizes Russian sovereignty over any portion of Ukrainian territory by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Donald Trump's March 25, 2019, recognition of Israel's sovereignty over the Golan Heights is an example of a qualifying action.
Statement of intents, or announcements of planned recognition will not qualify.
Ukrainian territory is defined as any portion of Ukraine as recognized by the UN at the start of the present conflict on February 24, 2022, including Crimea.
The resolution source will be official U.S. government statements and credible reporting from major news organizations.
Donald Trump's March 25, 2019, recognition of Israel's sovereignty over the Golan Heights is an example of a qualifying action.
Statement of intents, or announcements of planned recognition will not qualify.
Ukrainian territory is defined as any portion of Ukraine as recognized by the UN at the start of the present conflict on February 24, 2022, including Crimea.
The resolution source will be official U.S. government statements and credible reporting from major news organizations.
市场开放时间： Nov 13, 2025, 5:51 PM ET
交易量
$184,983结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Nov 13, 2025, 5:51 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States government officially recognizes Russian sovereignty over any portion of Ukrainian territory by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Donald Trump's March 25, 2019, recognition of Israel's sovereignty over the Golan Heights is an example of a qualifying action.
Statement of intents, or announcements of planned recognition will not qualify.
Ukrainian territory is defined as any portion of Ukraine as recognized by the UN at the start of the present conflict on February 24, 2022, including Crimea.
The resolution source will be official U.S. government statements and credible reporting from major news organizations.US policy under the current administration has prioritized brokered ceasefires and peace talks that could involve territorial compromises along current lines of control, yet repeated proposals have produced no formal recognition of Russian sovereignty over Ukrainian territory. Stalled negotiations since early 2026, Ukrainian rejection of maximalist demands on NATO accession and demilitarization, and continued US and allied affirmations of Ukraine’s internationally recognized borders have kept such recognition off the agenda. With no scheduled diplomatic breakthroughs or policy shifts before year-end 2026, the 93.5% implied probability on “No” reflects the absence of verifiable moves toward official acknowledgment of Russian claims.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States government officially recognizes Russian sovereignty over any portion of Ukrainian territory by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Donald Trump's March 25, 2019, recognition of Israel's sovereignty over the Golan Heights is an example of a qualifying action.
Statement of intents, or announcements of planned recognition will not qualify.
Ukrainian territory is defined as any portion of Ukraine as recognized by the UN at the start of the present conflict on February 24, 2022, including Crimea.
The resolution source will be official U.S. government statements and credible reporting from major news organizations.
Donald Trump's March 25, 2019, recognition of Israel's sovereignty over the Golan Heights is an example of a qualifying action.
Statement of intents, or announcements of planned recognition will not qualify.
Ukrainian territory is defined as any portion of Ukraine as recognized by the UN at the start of the present conflict on February 24, 2022, including Crimea.
The resolution source will be official U.S. government statements and credible reporting from major news organizations.
交易量
$184,983结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Nov 13, 2025, 5:51 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...US policy under the current administration has prioritized brokered ceasefires and peace talks that could involve territorial compromises along current lines of control, yet repeated proposals have produced no formal recognition of Russian sovereignty over Ukrainian territory. Stalled negotiations since early 2026, Ukrainian rejection of maximalist demands on NATO accession and demilitarization, and continued US and allied affirmations of Ukraine’s internationally recognized borders have kept such recognition off the agenda. With no scheduled diplomatic breakthroughs or policy shifts before year-end 2026, the 93.5% implied probability on “No” reflects the absence of verifiable moves toward official acknowledgment of Russian claims.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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