Trump’s active Truth Social presence and ongoing Iran negotiations remain the dominant drivers of sentiment in this word-or-phrase market. Fresh threats to resume strikes if proxies in Lebanon act up, combined with mixed signals about the June 15 memorandum of understanding and Strait of Hormuz access, have traders focused on recurring terms such as “deal,” “strike,” “proxies,” and “catastrophe.” Executive-order signings and a scheduled June 24 rally appearance add potential platforms for signature phrasing. Historical patterns show Trump’s rhetoric often escalates or pivots quickly during live diplomatic moments, creating swing factors around any new Vance or G7 updates before the week closes. Traders weigh these catalysts against the market’s short resolution window.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Six Seven
32%
Uranium
49%
Traitor
32%
Antifa
25%
Third World
34%
Nothing ever happens
12%
Maduro
45%
Dell
45%
Boom / Booming
63%
Messi
24%
Ronaldo
19%
$3,754 交易量
Six Seven
32%
Uranium
49%
Traitor
32%
Antifa
25%
Third World
34%
Nothing ever happens
12%
Maduro
45%
Dell
45%
Boom / Booming
63%
Messi
24%
Ronaldo
19%
Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).
A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible.
Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution.
AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.
Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
市场开放时间: Jun 22, 2026, 5:18 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).
A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible.
Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution.
AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.
Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Trump’s active Truth Social presence and ongoing Iran negotiations remain the dominant drivers of sentiment in this word-or-phrase market. Fresh threats to resume strikes if proxies in Lebanon act up, combined with mixed signals about the June 15 memorandum of understanding and Strait of Hormuz access, have traders focused on recurring terms such as “deal,” “strike,” “proxies,” and “catastrophe.” Executive-order signings and a scheduled June 24 rally appearance add potential platforms for signature phrasing. Historical patterns show Trump’s rhetoric often escalates or pivots quickly during live diplomatic moments, creating swing factors around any new Vance or G7 updates before the week closes. Traders weigh these catalysts against the market’s short resolution window.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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