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政治·主要

谁将从阿拉斯加州州长初选中晋升？

icon for 谁将从阿拉斯加州州长初选中晋升？
政治·主要

谁将从阿拉斯加州州长初选中晋升？

$212,823 交易量

2026-08-18
Polymarket

$212,823 交易量

Polymarket

汤姆·贝吉奇

$12,060 交易量

91%

伯纳黛特·威尔逊

$14,809 交易量

71%

Gregg Brelsford

$78 交易量

51%

Click Bishop

$41,287 交易量

45%

乔纳森·克赖斯-汤金斯

$3,840 交易量

42%

戴夫·布朗森

$2,320 交易量

40%

比尔·沃克

$53 交易量

25%

Treg Taylor

$56,899 交易量

21%

马特·海拉拉

$3,578 交易量

13%

Lesil McGuire

$73 交易量

13%

马特·克拉曼

$37,010 交易量

7%

亚当·克鲁姆

$6,235 交易量

6%

谢莉·休斯

$2,837 交易量

5%

埃德娜·德弗里斯

$11,992 交易量

4%

布鲁斯·沃尔登

$2,202 交易量

4%

汉克·克罗尔

$1,484 交易量

3%

詹姆斯·帕金

$2,460 交易量

3%

杰西卡·费尔克洛斯

$139 交易量

3%

南希·达尔斯特伦

$13,392 交易量

2%

Destry J. Payne Sr.

$72 交易量

48%

The non-partisan primary election for Governor of Alaska is scheduled to take place on August 18, 2026. The top four candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Governor of Alaska. This market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate advances from the primary to the general election for Governor of Alaska. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. If no 2026 Alaska gubernatorial primary takes place, this market will resolve to “No.” This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of Alaska as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Alaska, specifically the State of Alaska Division of Elections.Alaska’s open 2026 governor race features a crowded nonpartisan top-four primary on August 18 that will advance the highest vote-getters to a ranked-choice general election. With incumbent Mike Dunleavy term-limited, 17 candidates filed by the June 1 deadline, including 11 Republicans such as former Anchorage mayor Dave Bronson and state senator Click Bishop, plus Democrats Tom Begich and Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins and independents like former governor Bill Walker. Name recognition, fundraising, and early positioning are likely to determine which contenders clear the top-four threshold in the final weeks before the June 27 withdrawal deadline and the August primary. Limited polling shows several Republicans and Begich clustered near the top, underscoring the fragmented field and the importance of turnout among different voting blocs.

The non-partisan primary election for Governor of Alaska is scheduled to take place on August 18, 2026. The top four candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Governor of Alaska.

This market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate advances from the primary to the general election for Governor of Alaska. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”.

If no 2026 Alaska gubernatorial primary takes place, this market will resolve to “No.”

This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of Alaska as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Alaska, specifically the State of Alaska Division of Elections.
交易量
$212,823
结束日期
2026-08-18
市场开放时间
Dec 10, 2025, 4:11 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
The non-partisan primary election for Governor of Alaska is scheduled to take place on August 18, 2026. The top four candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Governor of Alaska. This market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate advances from the primary to the general election for Governor of Alaska. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. If no 2026 Alaska gubernatorial primary takes place, this market will resolve to “No.” This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of Alaska as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Alaska, specifically the State of Alaska Division of Elections.
The non-partisan primary election for Governor of Alaska is scheduled to take place on August 18, 2026. The top four candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Governor of Alaska. This market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate advances from the primary to the general election for Governor of Alaska. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. If no 2026 Alaska gubernatorial primary takes place, this market will resolve to “No.” This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of Alaska as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Alaska, specifically the State of Alaska Division of Elections.Alaska’s open 2026 governor race features a crowded nonpartisan top-four primary on August 18 that will advance the highest vote-getters to a ranked-choice general election. With incumbent Mike Dunleavy term-limited, 17 candidates filed by the June 1 deadline, including 11 Republicans such as former Anchorage mayor Dave Bronson and state senator Click Bishop, plus Democrats Tom Begich and Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins and independents like former governor Bill Walker. Name recognition, fundraising, and early positioning are likely to determine which contenders clear the top-four threshold in the final weeks before the June 27 withdrawal deadline and the August primary. Limited polling shows several Republicans and Begich clustered near the top, underscoring the fragmented field and the importance of turnout among different voting blocs.

The non-partisan primary election for Governor of Alaska is scheduled to take place on August 18, 2026. The top four candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Governor of Alaska.

This market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate advances from the primary to the general election for Governor of Alaska. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”.

If no 2026 Alaska gubernatorial primary takes place, this market will resolve to “No.”

This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of Alaska as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Alaska, specifically the State of Alaska Division of Elections.
交易量
$212,823
结束日期
2026-08-18
市场开放时间
Dec 10, 2025, 4:11 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
The non-partisan primary election for Governor of Alaska is scheduled to take place on August 18, 2026. The top four candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Governor of Alaska. This market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate advances from the primary to the general election for Governor of Alaska. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. If no 2026 Alaska gubernatorial primary takes place, this market will resolve to “No.” This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of Alaska as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Alaska, specifically the State of Alaska Division of Elections.

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常见问题

"谁将从阿拉斯加州州长初选中晋升？"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 20 个可能结果的预测市场，交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"汤姆·贝吉奇"，概率为 91%，其次是"伯纳黛特·威尔逊"，概率为 71%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如，价格为 91¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 91%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

截至目前，"谁将从阿拉斯加州州长初选中晋升？"已产生 $212.8K 的总交易量（自Dec 10, 2025市场上线以来）。这一活跃度反映了 Polymarket 社区的高度参与，并确保当前赔率由广泛的市场参与者共同形成。你可以直接在本页追踪实时价格变动并交易任何结果。

要在"谁将从阿拉斯加州州长初选中晋升？"上交易，浏览本页上列出的 20 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓，选择你认为最可能的结果，选择"是"支持或"否"反对，输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确，你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确，支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"谁将从阿拉斯加州州长初选中晋升？"的当前领先者是"汤姆·贝吉奇"，概率为 91%，意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 91%。紧随其后的结果是"伯纳黛特·威尔逊"，概率为 71%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"谁将从阿拉斯加州州长初选中晋升？"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则，因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。