Ongoing hostilities from the February 2026 U.S.-Israel military campaign against Iranian targets, coupled with a fragile ceasefire repeatedly strained by proxy attacks and airstrikes, have entrenched the 47-year freeze in bilateral diplomatic ties. President Trump’s May rejection of Tehran’s latest proposal as unacceptable, alongside Prime Minister Netanyahu’s statements that core issues including nuclear capabilities and proxies remain unresolved, has eliminated near-term signals of normalization. Traders price an Israeli embassy reopening in 2026 at just 14 percent because no credible pathway exists for formal diplomatic resumption absent a comprehensive settlement, which current negotiations have not produced.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于是
$51,774 交易量
$51,774 交易量
2026-12-31
是
$51,774 交易量
$51,774 交易量
2026-12-31
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Israeli government announces the reopening/opening of any embassy or consulate in Iran, or if such a reopening/opening is otherwise confirmed, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An official announcement made within this market’s timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual embassy or consulate opening subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Any opening of an Israeli embassy or consulate in Iran will qualify regardless of its exact location.
Announcements that do not clearly commit to opening an embassy or consulate, such as general diplomatic statements, exploratory comments, or partial/conditional steps, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the Government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Ongoing hostilities from the February 2026 U.S.-Israel military campaign against Iranian targets, coupled with a fragile ceasefire repeatedly strained by proxy attacks and airstrikes, have entrenched the 47-year freeze in bilateral diplomatic ties. President Trump’s May rejection of Tehran’s latest proposal as unacceptable, alongside Prime Minister Netanyahu’s statements that core issues including nuclear capabilities and proxies remain unresolved, has eliminated near-term signals of normalization. Traders price an Israeli embassy reopening in 2026 at just 14 percent because no credible pathway exists for formal diplomatic resumption absent a comprehensive settlement, which current negotiations have not produced.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Israeli government announces the reopening/opening of any embassy or consulate in Iran, or if such a reopening/opening is otherwise confirmed, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An official announcement made within this market’s timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual embassy or consulate opening subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Any opening of an Israeli embassy or consulate in Iran will qualify regardless of its exact location.
Announcements that do not clearly commit to opening an embassy or consulate, such as general diplomatic statements, exploratory comments, or partial/conditional steps, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the Government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
An official announcement made within this market’s timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual embassy or consulate opening subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Any opening of an Israeli embassy or consulate in Iran will qualify regardless of its exact location.
Announcements that do not clearly commit to opening an embassy or consulate, such as general diplomatic statements, exploratory comments, or partial/conditional steps, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the Government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
市场开放时间： Mar 6, 2026, 9:46 AM ET
交易量
$51,774结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Mar 6, 2026, 9:46 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Israeli government announces the reopening/opening of any embassy or consulate in Iran, or if such a reopening/opening is otherwise confirmed, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An official announcement made within this market’s timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual embassy or consulate opening subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Any opening of an Israeli embassy or consulate in Iran will qualify regardless of its exact location.
Announcements that do not clearly commit to opening an embassy or consulate, such as general diplomatic statements, exploratory comments, or partial/conditional steps, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the Government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Ongoing hostilities from the February 2026 U.S.-Israel military campaign against Iranian targets, coupled with a fragile ceasefire repeatedly strained by proxy attacks and airstrikes, have entrenched the 47-year freeze in bilateral diplomatic ties. President Trump’s May rejection of Tehran’s latest proposal as unacceptable, alongside Prime Minister Netanyahu’s statements that core issues including nuclear capabilities and proxies remain unresolved, has eliminated near-term signals of normalization. Traders price an Israeli embassy reopening in 2026 at just 14 percent because no credible pathway exists for formal diplomatic resumption absent a comprehensive settlement, which current negotiations have not produced.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Israeli government announces the reopening/opening of any embassy or consulate in Iran, or if such a reopening/opening is otherwise confirmed, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An official announcement made within this market’s timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual embassy or consulate opening subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Any opening of an Israeli embassy or consulate in Iran will qualify regardless of its exact location.
Announcements that do not clearly commit to opening an embassy or consulate, such as general diplomatic statements, exploratory comments, or partial/conditional steps, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the Government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
An official announcement made within this market’s timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual embassy or consulate opening subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Any opening of an Israeli embassy or consulate in Iran will qualify regardless of its exact location.
Announcements that do not clearly commit to opening an embassy or consulate, such as general diplomatic statements, exploratory comments, or partial/conditional steps, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the Government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
交易量
$51,774结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Mar 6, 2026, 9:46 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Ongoing hostilities from the February 2026 U.S.-Israel military campaign against Iranian targets, coupled with a fragile ceasefire repeatedly strained by proxy attacks and airstrikes, have entrenched the 47-year freeze in bilateral diplomatic ties. President Trump’s May rejection of Tehran’s latest proposal as unacceptable, alongside Prime Minister Netanyahu’s statements that core issues including nuclear capabilities and proxies remain unresolved, has eliminated near-term signals of normalization. Traders price an Israeli embassy reopening in 2026 at just 14 percent because no credible pathway exists for formal diplomatic resumption absent a comprehensive settlement, which current negotiations have not produced.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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