Skip to main content
icon for 内塔尼亚胡会被……赦免吗?

内塔尼亚胡会被……赦免吗?

icon for 内塔尼亚胡会被……赦免吗?

内塔尼亚胡会被……赦免吗?

$480,167 交易量

2026-12-31
Polymarket

$480,167 交易量

Polymarket

12月31日

$9,149 交易量

14%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Benjamin Netanyahu receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or other formal grant of clemency from the then-serving President of Israel for any charges by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the Israeli government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or other formal grant of clemency from Israeli President Isaac Herzog for any charges by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the Israeli government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.**President Isaac Herzog has deferred any decision on Benjamin Netanyahu’s November 2025 pardon request in his long-running corruption trial, prioritizing mediation toward a plea deal instead.** The request, submitted without an admission of guilt or remorse while proceedings continue, lacks precedent under Israeli law, which typically requires conviction or a clear acceptance of responsibility; the Justice Ministry’s Pardons Department has advised against granting it on those grounds. Judges overseeing the trial reiterated in June 2026 their earlier view that prosecutors should drop the central bribery charge in Case 4000, a development that could narrow the case but has not resolved it. Netanyahu completed his testimony that month after 98 hearings, with remaining defense witnesses and closing arguments still ahead, potentially extending into 2028. Coalition ministers and MKs have urged clemency citing national security needs, while external pressure from U.S. President Trump has been rebuffed by Herzog, who has signaled any outcome must serve the state’s interests and may involve negotiated limits on Netanyahu’s political role. Upcoming trial sessions and any renewed plea talks represent the nearest catalysts that could shift the trajectory.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Benjamin Netanyahu receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or other formal grant of clemency from the then-serving President of Israel for any charges by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the Israeli government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
交易量
$480,167
结束日期
2027-01-01
市场开放时间
Jun 30, 2026, 5:25 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Benjamin Netanyahu receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or other formal grant of clemency from the then-serving President of Israel for any charges by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the Israeli government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Benjamin Netanyahu receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or other formal grant of clemency from the then-serving President of Israel for any charges by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the Israeli government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or other formal grant of clemency from Israeli President Isaac Herzog for any charges by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the Israeli government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.**President Isaac Herzog has deferred any decision on Benjamin Netanyahu’s November 2025 pardon request in his long-running corruption trial, prioritizing mediation toward a plea deal instead.** The request, submitted without an admission of guilt or remorse while proceedings continue, lacks precedent under Israeli law, which typically requires conviction or a clear acceptance of responsibility; the Justice Ministry’s Pardons Department has advised against granting it on those grounds. Judges overseeing the trial reiterated in June 2026 their earlier view that prosecutors should drop the central bribery charge in Case 4000, a development that could narrow the case but has not resolved it. Netanyahu completed his testimony that month after 98 hearings, with remaining defense witnesses and closing arguments still ahead, potentially extending into 2028. Coalition ministers and MKs have urged clemency citing national security needs, while external pressure from U.S. President Trump has been rebuffed by Herzog, who has signaled any outcome must serve the state’s interests and may involve negotiated limits on Netanyahu’s political role. Upcoming trial sessions and any renewed plea talks represent the nearest catalysts that could shift the trajectory.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Benjamin Netanyahu receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or other formal grant of clemency from the then-serving President of Israel for any charges by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the Israeli government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
交易量
$480,167
结束日期
2027-01-01
市场开放时间
Jun 30, 2026, 5:25 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Benjamin Netanyahu receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or other formal grant of clemency from the then-serving President of Israel for any charges by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the Israeli government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

警惕外部链接哦。

常见问题

"内塔尼亚胡会被……赦免吗?"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 2 个可能结果的预测市场,交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"12月31日",概率为 14%,其次是"6月30日",概率为 0%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如,价格为 14¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 14%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

截至目前,"内塔尼亚胡会被……赦免吗?"已产生 $480.2K 的总交易量(自Mar 9, 2026市场上线以来)。这一活跃度反映了 Polymarket 社区的高度参与,并确保当前赔率由广泛的市场参与者共同形成。你可以直接在本页追踪实时价格变动并交易任何结果。

要在"内塔尼亚胡会被……赦免吗?"上交易,浏览本页上列出的 2 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓,选择你认为最可能的结果,选择"是"支持或"否"反对,输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确,你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确,支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"内塔尼亚胡会被……赦免吗?"的当前领先者是"12月31日",概率为 14%,意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 14%。紧随其后的结果是"6月30日",概率为 0%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"内塔尼亚胡会被……赦免吗?"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则,因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。