Donald Trump's public communications have historically included direct criticisms of political opponents, media figures, and officials, often delivered via social media, rallies, or interviews. Traders assessing this market focus on his current schedule of appearances and statements, where unscripted remarks could arise during policy discussions or responses to ongoing legislative or diplomatic developments. Recent campaign-related events and press engagements have shown varying levels of restraint or confrontation, influencing assessments of whether a personal remark will occur. Upcoming scheduled addresses, hearings, or public forums represent potential points where the tone could shift probabilities. The outcome depends on confirmed public comments rather than private or indirect references.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$509,665 交易量
May 18
95%
May 19
94%
May 20
91%
May 21
90%
May 22
93%
May 23
91%
May 24
90%
May 25
91%
May 26
91%
May 27
89%
May 28
91%
May 29
91%
May 30
91%
May 31
90%
$509,665 交易量
May 18
95%
May 19
94%
May 20
91%
May 21
90%
May 22
93%
May 23
91%
May 24
90%
May 25
91%
May 26
91%
May 27
89%
May 28
91%
May 29
91%
May 30
91%
May 31
90%
This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count.
A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.
Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
市场开放时间: Apr 30, 2026, 11:29 AM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count.
A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.
Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Donald Trump's public communications have historically included direct criticisms of political opponents, media figures, and officials, often delivered via social media, rallies, or interviews. Traders assessing this market focus on his current schedule of appearances and statements, where unscripted remarks could arise during policy discussions or responses to ongoing legislative or diplomatic developments. Recent campaign-related events and press engagements have shown varying levels of restraint or confrontation, influencing assessments of whether a personal remark will occur. Upcoming scheduled addresses, hearings, or public forums represent potential points where the tone could shift probabilities. The outcome depends on confirmed public comments rather than private or indirect references.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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